International Business Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring International Business headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Business Machines Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With International Business hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of International Business Machines Corporation from the prospective of International Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on International Business over a specific investment horizon. Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

International Business estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
May 24, 2017
152.03
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
149.38
151.9
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
154.42
Upside
Upside upside
International Business is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Business is based on 1 month time horizon.

International Business Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.24% 0.84% 0.13%  0.11% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthUncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
152.03151.900.09%
155.56% 

International Business Hype Timeline

On 24 of May International Business Machines Corporation is traded for  152.03 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.13 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. International Business Machines Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 151.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 155.56%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.09% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.24%. The volatility of related hype on International Business is about 181.95% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 151.92. About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.16. International Business Machines Corporation last dividend was issued on 2017-05-08. This company had 2:1 split on May 27, 1999. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International Business Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NetSuite Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.34)  0.00  1.27 (3.89)  9.32 
Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc 0.52 1 per month 0.00  0.28 (1.05)  1.41 (0.77)  4.26 
CA Inc(0.03) 2 per month 0.00 (0.20)  0.00  0.73 (1.34)  2.31 
Gartner Inc(0.11) 2 per month 0.88 (0.03) (0.39)  0.89 (0.78)  2.88 
F5 Networks Inc(2.62) 1 per month 0.00 (0.21)  0.00  1.71 (2.67)  7.70 
CDK Global Inc(0.53) 1 per month 0.00 (0.32)  0.00  1.17 (2.46)  4.20