International Business Price Prediction

International Business Machines Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 145.13  0.13  0.090000%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring International Business headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Business Machines Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With International Business hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of International Business Machines Corporation from the prospective of International Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on International Business over a specific investment horizon. Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

International Business estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
September 25, 2017
145.13
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
143.37
145.32
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
147.27
Upside
Upside upside
International Business is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Business is based on 1 month time horizon.

International Business Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10% 0.63% 0.11%  0.010000% 2 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
145.13145.320.040000%
57.27% 

International Business Hype Timeline

On 25 of September International Business Machines Corporation is traded for  145.13 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. International Business Machines Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 145.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 57.27%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.04% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on International Business is about 687.27% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 145.14. The company reported last year revenue of 78.44 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 11.45 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 38.29 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International Business Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc 1.16 1 per month 0.00  0.18 (0.61)  1.37 (0.48)  2.94 
CA Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.54 (0.12) (0.46)  0.80 (0.87)  1.68 
Gartner Inc 0.15 2 per month 0.88  0.099400 (0.69)  1.45 (0.84)  4.69 
Workday Inc(0.76) 2 per month 0.99 (0.085800) (0.99)  2.00 (1.37)  4.75 
F5 Networks Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.49  0.046900 (0.56)  1.72 (0.88)  3.16 
CDK Global Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.00 (0.090700) (0.65)  1.60 (1.61)  4.34