International Business Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

IBM -- USA Stock  

USD 145.97  0.54  0.37%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Business Machines Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With International Business hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of International Business Machines Corporation from the prospective of International Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on International Business over a specific investment horizon. Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

International Business After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

International Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 21, 2018
145.97
Current Value
Downside
142.98
145.95
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
148.92
Upside
International Business is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Business is based on 1 month time horizon.

International Business Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.03% 0.99% 0.02%  0.01% 6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
145.97145.950.01%
130.26% 

International Business Hype Timeline

On 21 of August International Business Machines Corporation is traded for 145.97. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. International Business Machines Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 145.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 130.26%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.01% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on International Business is about 315.29% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 145.98. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.21. International Business Machines Corporation last dividend was issued on 2018-08-09. This company had 2:1 split on 1999-05-27. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International Business Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Broadridge Financial Solutions 1.39 4 per month 0.81  0.19  1.89 (1.73)  11.44 
CA 0.05 6 per month 0.00 (0.23)  0.39 (0.43)  1.19 
Gartner(0.80) 4 per month 1.37  0.1  2.51 (2.06)  4.67 
Workday 2.25 5 per month 0.00  0.18  2.11 (2.87)  7.18 
F5 Networks 0.83 7 per month 0.86  0.23  1.59 (1.61)  3.94 
CDK Global(0.83) 6 per month 0.00 (0.30)  0.91 (1.92)  4.42 
CDW Corporation(0.43) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0279)  1.30 (2.30)  6.30 
Salesforce 0.39 5 per month 0.00 (0.06)  1.97 (2.48)  6.05 
Computer Sciences Corporation 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company 0.29 6 per month 2.03  0.0387  2.46 (1.61)  4.38 

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Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.