International Business Risk Analysis

International Business Machines Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 146.53  0.3  0.2%

We consider International Business not too risky. International Business holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.1287 which attests that International Business had 0.1287% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards determining volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with company specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for International Business which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the corporation. Please check out International Business Downside Deviation of 0.3721, Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1098 and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0354 to validate if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.063%.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

International Business Market Sensitivity

As returns on market increase, International Business returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding International Business will be expected to be smaller as well.
One Month Beta |Analyze International Business Demand Trend
Check current 30 days International Business correlation with market (DOW)
β = 0.5392
International Business Small BetaInternational Business Beta Legend

Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering 30-days investment horizon, International Business has beta of 0.5392 . This indicates as returns on market go up, International Business average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding International Business Machines Corporation will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, International Business Machines Corporation has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of International Business is 776.78. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.24 and standard deviation of 0.49. The mean deviation of International Business Machines Corporation is currently at 0.38. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 0.23
α
Alpha over DOW
=(0.0156) 
βBeta against DOW= 0.54 
σ
Overall volatility
= 0.49 
 IrInformation ratio =(0.15) 

Actual Return Volatility

International Business Machines Corporation has volatility of 0.4893% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. DOW inherits 0.2342% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 30 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

Market Risk Breakdown

International Business Volatility Factors

30 Days Market Risk

Not too risky

Chance of Distress in 24 months

30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Follows market closely

Total Debt

International Business Total Debt History

Total Debt

Largest Trends

International Business Largest Period Trend
 145.45 
  
 145.08 
0.37  0.25%
Lowest period price (30 days)
 147.71 
  
 148.5 
0.79  0.53%
Highest period price (30 days)

Investment Outlook

International Business Investment Opportunity
International Business Machines Corporation has a volatility of 0.49 and is 2.13 times more volatile than DOW. 4% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than International Business. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of International Business Machines Corporation is lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use International Business Machines Corporation to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of International Business to be traded at $145.06 in 30 days. As returns on market increase, International Business returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding International Business will be expected to be smaller as well.

International Business correlation with market

Modest diversification
Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding International Business Machine and equity matching DJI index in the same portfolio.

Volatility Indicators

International Business Current Risk Indicators