Infinity Pharmaceuticals Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

INFI -- USA Stock  

USD 1.98  0.02  1.02%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Infinity Pharmaceuticals headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Infinity Pharmaceuticals brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Infinity Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Infinity Pharmaceuticals from the prospective of Infinity Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Infinity Pharmaceuticals over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Infinity Pharmaceuticals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Infinity Pharmaceuticals After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Infinity Pharmaceuticals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 19, 2018
1.98
Current Value
1.97
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
15.83
Upside
Infinity Pharmaceuticals is exceptionally risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Infinity Pharmaceuticals is based on 1 month time horizon.

Infinity Pharmaceuticals Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.55% 4.62% 0.01%  0.08% 5 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.981.970.51%
46,200% 

Infinity Pharmaceuticals Hype Timeline

Infinity Pharmaceuticals is currently traded for1.98. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Infinity Pharmaceuticals is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 1.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 46200.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.51% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.55%. The volatility of related hype on Infinity Pharmaceuticals is about 3221.76% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.9. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Infinity Pharmaceuticals was currently reported as 0.85. The company recorded loss per share of 0.8. Infinity Pharmaceuticals had not issued any dividends in recent years. This company had 1:4 split on 2006-09-13. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Please also check Infinity Pharmaceuticals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Infinity Pharmaceuticals Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
China Cord Blood Corporation(0.21) 3 per month 0.00 (0.35)  2.37 (5.05)  7.99 
NantKwest 0.19 5 per month 2.03  0.21  7.29 (2.50)  9.87 
DelMar Pharmaceuticals 0.016 2 per month 0.00 (0.35)  4.78 (6.99)  10.98 
Denali Therapeutics(0.67) 3 per month 0.00 (0.38)  3.12 (4.46)  11.60 
Dova Pharmaceuticals(0.05) 5 per month 0.00 (0.21)  5.09 (10.31)  18.48 
Dicerna Pharmaceuticals(0.68) 6 per month 4.15 (0.0035)  4.52 (4.88)  11.53 
Dynavax Technologies Corporation 0.05 5 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.40 (2.98)  5.50 
Auris Medical Holding AG(0.06) 2 per month 0.00 (0.40)  3.53 (21.13)  59.84 
Endocyte(0.03) 5 per month 2.50  0.19  5.94 (4.14)  19.26 
Edge Therapeutics 0.01 3 per month 0.00 (0.13)  4.90 (5.56)  13.63 

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Please also check Infinity Pharmaceuticals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.