Inogen Inc Stock Price Prediction
| INGN Stock | USD 7.09 0.14 2.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Inogen Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Inogen shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Inogen's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Inogen and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Inogen's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Inogen Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Inogen's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.873 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.62) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.50) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.96) | Wall Street Target Price 6.5 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Inogen based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Inogen stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Inogen over a specific investment horizon. Using Inogen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Inogen Inc from the perspective of Inogen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Inogen using Inogen's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Inogen using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Inogen's stock price.
Inogen Implied Volatility | 150.83 |
Inogen's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Inogen Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Inogen's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Inogen stock will not fluctuate a lot when Inogen's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Inogen. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Inogen to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Inogen because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Inogen after-hype prediction price | USD 7.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Inogen |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inogen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Inogen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Inogen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Inogen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Inogen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Inogen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Inogen's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inogen's historical news coverage. Inogen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 14.18, respectively. We have considered Inogen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Inogen is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Inogen Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Inogen Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inogen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inogen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inogen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 6.99 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 10 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.09 | 7.19 | 3.45 |
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Inogen Hype Timeline
Inogen Inc is currently traded for 7.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Inogen is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 3.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.7%. The volatility of related hype on Inogen is about 4750.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.19. The company currently holds 21.92 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Inogen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Inogen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Inogen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inogen's future price movements. Getting to know how Inogen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Inogen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NPCE | Neuropace | (0.73) | 9 per month | 4.40 | 0.07 | 7.85 | (6.51) | 24.43 | |
| SRDX | SurModics | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.52 | (4.14) | 11.42 | |
| LUNG | PulmonxCorp | 0.25 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 3.61 | (6.79) | 25.81 | |
| APYX | Apyx Medical | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.81 | (10.45) | 45.17 | |
| CVRX | CVRx Inc | (0.76) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 5.26 | (6.41) | 13.72 | |
| OFIX | Orthofix Medical | (0.75) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.28 | (4.48) | 15.45 | |
| AORT | Artivion | 0.19 | 7 per month | 1.92 | 0.04 | 3.17 | (3.24) | 9.39 | |
| HSKA | Heska | 0.15 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 3.63 | (0.71) | 21.36 | |
| KIDS | Orthopediatrics Corp | 2.37 | 12 per month | 2.56 | 0.02 | 6.44 | (4.65) | 15.51 | |
| SGHT | Sight Sciences | 0.08 | 7 per month | 4.45 | 0.03 | 6.69 | (7.35) | 25.65 | |
| CNMD | CONMED | (0.20) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.96 | (6.07) | 15.57 | |
| ITGR | Integer Holdings Corp | 2.51 | 11 per month | 1.29 | 0.11 | 2.49 | (2.10) | 7.45 | |
| NUVA | NuVasive | (0.48) | 9 per month | 1.52 | 0 | 2.53 | (2.51) | 7.86 | |
| SIBN | Si Bone | (0.42) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.10 | (3.60) | 18.59 |
Inogen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Inogen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inogen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inogen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Inogen Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Inogen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Inogen Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Inogen based on analysis of Inogen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Inogen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Inogen's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 26.3 | 62.26 | 49.62 | 53.57 | PTB Ratio | 2.07 | 1.51 | 0.62 | 0.59 |
Story Coverage note for Inogen
The number of cover stories for Inogen depends on current market conditions and Inogen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Inogen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Inogen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Inogen Short Properties
Inogen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Inogen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Inogen Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Inogen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inogen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128.5 M |
Check out Inogen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Inogen Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Inogen's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Inogen Stock analysis
When running Inogen's price analysis, check to measure Inogen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inogen is operating at the current time. Most of Inogen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inogen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inogen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inogen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Inogen's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Inogen. If investors know Inogen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Inogen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.873 | Earnings Share (4.42) | Revenue Per Share 13.62 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) | Return On Assets (0.11) |
The market value of Inogen Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Inogen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Inogen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Inogen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Inogen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Inogen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Inogen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inogen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inogen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.