Intel Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

INTC -- USA Stock  

USD 48.11  0.72  1.52%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intel Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Intel hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Intel Corporation from the prospective of Intel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Intel over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Intel After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Intel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 14, 2018
48.11
Current Value
48.10
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
53.02
Upside
Intel is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intel is based on 1 month time horizon.

Intel Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.32% 2.67% 0.16%  0.11% 3 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
48.1148.100.02%
534.00% 

Intel Hype Timeline

Intel Corporation is currently traded for48.11. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Intel Corporation is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 48.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 534.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.02% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Intel is about 803.97% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 48.0. About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Intel Corporation was currently reported as 15.19. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.06. Intel Corporation last dividend was issued on Novemberember 6, 2018. This company had 2:1 split on 2000-07-31. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Intel Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Diodes Incorporated(1.26) 5 per month 3.26  0.11  5.17 (3.94)  18.00 
Aquantia Corp 0.05 2 per month 0.00 (0.12)  4.60 (10.08)  19.95 
Cypress Semiconductor Corporation 0.1 4 per month 0.00 (0.0437)  3.36 (3.93)  13.59 
MagnaChip Semiconductor Corporation(0.1) 3 per month 0.00 (0.21)  3.68 (6.01)  11.02 
ON Semiconductor Corporation(0.58) 4 per month 3.98  0.07  8.24 (5.87)  14.70 
DSP Group 0.08 3 per month 1.87  0.1  3.51 (2.40)  6.99 
EMCORE Corporation 0.15 3 per month 0.00 (0.27)  2.90 (6.40)  11.49 
Electro Scientific Industries(0.09) 5 per month 1.36  0.20  4.90 (5.11)  92.25 
Envision Solar International(0.031) 2 per month 3.43  0.24  5.08 (5.00)  16.56 
Analog Devices(1.64) 6 per month 2.28  0.0445  2.97 (2.67)  8.06 

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