Intel Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

INTC -- USA Stock  

USD 53.50  0.82  1.51%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Intel headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intel Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Intel hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Intel Corporation from the prospective of Intel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Intel over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Intel After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Intel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

May 22, 2018
53.50
Current Value
54.14
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
58.73
Upside
Intel is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intel is based on 1 month time horizon.

Intel Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.30% 1.54% 0.20%  0.06% 6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
53.5054.140.33%
233.33% 

Intel Hype Timeline

Intel Corporation is currently traded for53.50. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.2 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Intel Corporation is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 54.14. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 233.33%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.33% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Intel is about 719.63% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 53.56. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Intel Corporation was currently reported as 14.73. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.38. Intel Corporation last dividend was issued on 2018-05-04. This company had 2:1 split on 2000-07-31. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Intel Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Micron Technology 1.95 7 per month 2.99  0.15  5.02 (3.90)  10.56 
ON Semiconductor Corporation 0.04 7 per month 1.68  0.0333  2.54 (3.24)  6.64 
Flex Ltd 0.03 6 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.12 (2.18)  22.00 
Analog Devices(0.48) 8 per month 0.53  0.26  1.73 (1.15)  3.48 
Advanced Micro Devices 0.27 6 per month 0.89  0.38  3.20 (2.07)  15.77 
Arrow Electronics 0.23 7 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.26 (2.32)  3.74 
Avnet(0.14) 4 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.75 (2.83)  5.72 
Xilinx 0.92 8 per month 0.00  0.50  1.89 (0.80)  4.66 
Texas Instruments Incorporated(0.78) 6 per month 0.42  0.31  2.26 (1.29)  5.95 
Vishay Intertechnology 0.10 6 per month 0.66  0.26  4.69 (2.10)  10.97 

Contributor Headline

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Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Transformation module to use price transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.