Intel Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

INTC -- USA Stock  

USD 47.10  0.07  0.15%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intel Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Intel hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Intel Corporation from the prospective of Intel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Intel over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Intel After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Intel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 20, 2018
47.10
Current Value
47.35
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
53.56
Upside
Intel is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intel is based on 1 month time horizon.

Intel Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.48% 2.07% 0.25%  0.04% 5 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
47.1047.350.53%
390.57% 

Intel Hype Timeline

Intel Corporation is currently traded for47.10. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.25 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Intel Corporation is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 47.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 390.57%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.53% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.48%. The volatility of related hype on Intel is about 2653.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 47.06. The company reported previous year revenue of 66.23 B. Net Income was 13.29 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 39.12 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Intel Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Micron Technology 0.55 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.70 (2.13)  8.31 
ON Semiconductor Corporation 0.57 5 per month 0.00  0.00  1.36 (3.10)  5.05 
Flex Ltd(0.05) 4 per month 0.00  0.00  1.15 (1.76)  6.16 
Analog Devices 1.19 6 per month 0.00  0.00  1.19 (1.72)  4.11 
Advanced Micro Devices(0.03) 5 per month 1.97  0.00  5.08 (2.82)  19.94 
Arrow Electronics(0.16) 5 per month 0.00  0.00  1.52 (2.00)  4.69 
Avnet 0.18 3 per month 0.57  0.00  2.12 (1.32)  5.37 
Xilinx(1.03) 4 per month 1.12  0.00  1.74 (1.33)  12.68 
Texas Instruments Incorporated(1.65) 5 per month 0.00  0.00  1.09 (1.57)  6.06 
Vishay Intertechnology(0.35) 5 per month 0.00  0.00  1.61 (2.32)  6.14 

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Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try ETF Directory module to find actively-traded exchange traded funds (etf) from around the world.