Intel Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

INTC -- USA Stock  

USD 45.91  1.00  2.13%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Intel Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Intel hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Intel Corporation from the prospective of Intel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Intel over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Intel After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Intel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 26, 2018
45.91
Current Value
46.63
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
50.11
Upside
Intel is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Intel is based on 1 month time horizon.

Intel Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.23% 1.16% 0.03%  0.01% 5 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
45.9146.630.06%
1,055% 

Intel Hype Timeline

Intel Corporation is currently traded for45.91. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Intel Corporation is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 46.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1054.55%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Intel is about 3682.54% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 45.92. About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Intel Corporation was currently reported as 15.19. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.11. Intel Corporation last dividend was issued on 2018-11-06. This company had 2:1 split on 2000-07-31. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Intel Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Diodes Incorporated 0.27 6 per month 0.00  0.00  1.68 (3.46)  4.18 
Aquantia Corp(0.05) 2 per month 1.29  0.00  2.41 (2.89)  5.10 
Cypress Semiconductor Corporation(0.36) 5 per month 0.00  0.00  2.70 (3.79)  7.90 
MagnaChip Semiconductor Corporation(0.10) 4 per month 0.00  0.00  1.51 (2.96)  6.50 
ON Semiconductor Corporation 0.05 7 per month 0.00  0.00  1.99 (4.25)  6.56 
DSP Group 0.30 3 per month 0.00  0.00  2.48 (2.15)  6.91 
EMCORE Corporation 0.05 6 per month 0.00  0.00  2.22 (2.20)  7.22 
Electro Scientific Industries(0.40) 4 per month 0.00  0.00  2.87 (3.16)  9.46 
Envision Solar International(0.005) 2 per month 0.00  0.00  1.28 (2.50)  7.70 
Analog Devices 0.56 4 per month 0.00  0.00  2.72 (2.39)  4.53 

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Please also check Intel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
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