ProShares UltraShort Price Prediction

ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natrl Gas -- USA Etf  

USD 47.47  0.35  0.73%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring ProShares UltraShort headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natrl Gas brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ProShares UltraShort hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natrl Gas from the prospective of ProShares UltraShort response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ProShares UltraShort over a specific investment horizon. Please see also ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ProShares UltraShort Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
December 14, 2017
47.47
Current Value
Downside upside
47.47
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
61.54
Upside
Upside upside
ProShares UltraShort is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares UltraShort is based on 1 month time horizon.

ProShares UltraShort Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.49% 4.69% 0.00%  0.14% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthUncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
47.4747.470.00%
0.00% 

ProShares UltraShort Hype Timeline

ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natrl Gas is now traded for 47.47 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.14. ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natrl Gas is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is now at 1.49%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to ProShares UltraShort is about 5116.36%%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares UltraShort is about 5116.36% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 47.61. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Please see also ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares UltraShort Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil 0.88 1 per month 2.8 (0.0646) (2.33)  4.56 (3.54)  9.33 
VelocityShares 3x Inverse Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER 0.00 0 per month 4.18 (0.0445) (3.43)  6.79 (5.26)  14.04 
DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN 0.00 0 per month 2.49 (0.0644) (2.06)  5.1 (3.19)  9.77 
ProShares UltraShort Gold(0.43) 1 per month 1 (0.0389) (1.25)  2.52 (1.92)  3.93 
DB Gold Double Short ETN 0.00 0 per month 1.07 (0.0308) (1.19)  2.76 (1.88)  4.65 
ProShares UltraShort Silver 0.1 1 per month 1.48  0.16 (1.8)  3.3 (2.4)  6.28