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KapStone risk analysis

 
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KapStone Paper and P

Stock@New York Stock Exchange 
United States USD
     
Use KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Allowing for 30-days total investment horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 1.63 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, KapStone will likely underperform. In addition to that, KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation has alpha of 1.63 implying that it can potentially generate 1.63% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   KapStone   
Allowing for 30-days total investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of KapStone is -1428.3. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 2.37 and standard deviation of 1.54. The mean deviation of KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation is currently at 1.17. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.57
alpha for KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation(alpha)= 1.63 
beta for KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation(beta) = 1.63 
volatility for KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation(volatility) = 1.54 

Actual Return Volatility

KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation accepts 1.54% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.57% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
May 21 2013
 28.17 
  
 27.98 
(0.19)  Macroaxis: -0.6744763933262381 Down   0.67%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 07 2013
 29.56 
  
 29.82 
0.26  Macroaxis: 0.8795669824086657 Up   0.88%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation has a volatility of 1.55 and is 2.72 times more volatile than S&P 500. 20% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than KapStone. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation is lower than 20 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use KapStone Paper and Packaging Corporation to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, KapStone will likely underperform.

KapStone correlation with market

Poor diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding KapStone Paper and Packaging C and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

KapStone Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.03)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.06)
Mean Deviation1.17
Semi-Deviation1.89
Downside Deviation1.86
Coefficient Of Variation(1,428)
Standard Deviation1.54

Suggested Divercification Pairs

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