Lamar Advertising Stock Price Prediction
| LAMR Stock | USD 114.06 0.58 0.51% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Lamar Advertising stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lamar Advertising shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lamar Advertising's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lamar Advertising and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lamar Advertising's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lamar Advertising, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lamar Advertising's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.249 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.89 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.09 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.68 | Wall Street Target Price 116 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lamar Advertising based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lamar stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lamar Advertising over a specific investment horizon. Using Lamar Advertising hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lamar Advertising from the perspective of Lamar Advertising response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lamar Advertising using Lamar Advertising's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lamar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lamar Advertising's stock price.
Lamar Advertising Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lamar Advertising's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lamar. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lamar Advertising stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Lamar Advertising may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lamar Advertising and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lamar Advertising with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 99.6515 | Short Percent 0.0281 | Short Ratio 4.24 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 113.5568 |
Lamar Advertising Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lamar Advertising's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lamar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lamar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lamar Advertising. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lamar Advertising's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lamar Advertising.
Lamar Advertising Implied Volatility | 32.37 |
Lamar Advertising's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lamar Advertising stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lamar Advertising's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lamar Advertising stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lamar Advertising's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lamar Advertising. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lamar Advertising to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lamar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lamar Advertising after-hype prediction price | USD 114.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lamar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lamar Advertising will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.02% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Lamar Advertising trading at USD 114.06, that is roughly USD 2.31 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lamar Advertising's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lamar Advertising options at the current volatility level of 32.37%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Lamar |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lamar Advertising's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lamar Advertising After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lamar Advertising at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lamar Advertising or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lamar Advertising, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lamar Advertising Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lamar Advertising's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lamar Advertising's historical news coverage. Lamar Advertising's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 113.14 and 116.14, respectively. We have considered Lamar Advertising's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lamar Advertising is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lamar Advertising is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lamar Advertising Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lamar Advertising is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lamar Advertising backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lamar Advertising, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.50 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
114.06 | 114.64 | 0.00 |
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Lamar Advertising Hype Timeline
Lamar Advertising is now traded for 114.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Lamar is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lamar Advertising is about 454.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 114.01. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. Lamar Advertising had 3:2 split on the 2nd of March 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Lamar Advertising Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lamar Advertising Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lamar Advertising's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lamar Advertising's future price movements. Getting to know how Lamar Advertising's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lamar Advertising may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RYN | Rayonier | (0.39) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.48 | (1.83) | 10.39 | |
| GLPI | Gaming Leisure Properties | 0.17 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.30 | (1.87) | 8.06 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.35 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.64 | (2.13) | 6.34 | |
| AFCG | AFC Gamma | (0.13) | 7 per month | 1.69 | (0.02) | 2.47 | (2.86) | 7.94 | |
| WY | Weyerhaeuser | (0.73) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.81 | (2.05) | 8.12 | |
| FPI | Farmland Partners | 0.14 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.34 | (2.35) | 12.48 | |
| LAND | Gladstone Land | (0.36) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.25 | (3.19) | 8.19 | |
| PCH | PotlatchDeltic Corp | (1.35) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.85 | (2.47) | 8.48 | |
| OUT | Outfront Media | 0.04 | 12 per month | 1.63 | 0.06 | 3.58 | (2.95) | 21.78 | |
| CCI | Crown Castle | (1.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.60 | (2.52) | 9.18 |
Lamar Advertising Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lamar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lamar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lamar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lamar Advertising Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lamar Advertising stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lamar Advertising, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lamar Advertising based on analysis of Lamar Advertising hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lamar Advertising's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lamar Advertising's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.033 | 0.0471 | 0.0495 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.86 | 5.13 | 5.86 |
Story Coverage note for Lamar Advertising
The number of cover stories for Lamar Advertising depends on current market conditions and Lamar Advertising's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lamar Advertising is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lamar Advertising's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lamar Advertising Short Properties
Lamar Advertising's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lamar Advertising's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lamar Advertising often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lamar Advertising's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lamar Advertising's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.6 M |
Check out Lamar Advertising Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Lamar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lamar Advertising guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Lamar Stock analysis
When running Lamar Advertising's price analysis, check to measure Lamar Advertising's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lamar Advertising is operating at the current time. Most of Lamar Advertising's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lamar Advertising's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lamar Advertising's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lamar Advertising to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lamar Advertising's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lamar Advertising. If investors know Lamar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lamar Advertising listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.249 | Dividend Share 5 | Earnings Share 4.85 | Revenue Per Share 20.748 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.039 |
The market value of Lamar Advertising is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lamar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lamar Advertising's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lamar Advertising's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lamar Advertising's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lamar Advertising's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lamar Advertising's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lamar Advertising is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lamar Advertising's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.