Leidos Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| LDOS Stock | USD 123.76 0.60 0.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Leidos Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Leidos Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Leidos Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Leidos Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Leidos Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Leidos Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Leidos Holdings' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.296 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.76 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.05 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.6 | Wall Street Target Price 141.81 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Leidos Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Leidos stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Leidos Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Leidos Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leidos Holdings from the perspective of Leidos Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Leidos Holdings using Leidos Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Leidos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Leidos Holdings' stock price.
Leidos Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Leidos Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Leidos. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Leidos Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Leidos Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Leidos Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Leidos Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 106.1904 | Short Percent 0.0131 | Short Ratio 1.68 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 125.476 |
Leidos Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Leidos Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Leidos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Leidos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Leidos Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Leidos Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Leidos Holdings.
Leidos Holdings Implied Volatility | 44.64 |
Leidos Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Leidos Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Leidos Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Leidos Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Leidos Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Leidos Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Leidos Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Leidos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Leidos Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 123.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Leidos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Leidos Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.79% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Leidos Holdings trading at USD 123.76, that is roughly USD 3.45 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Leidos Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Leidos Holdings options at the current volatility level of 44.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Leidos |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Leidos Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Leidos Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Leidos Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leidos Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Leidos Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Leidos Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Leidos Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leidos Holdings' historical news coverage. Leidos Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 122.33 and 124.35, respectively. We have considered Leidos Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Leidos Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leidos Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Leidos Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Leidos Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leidos Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leidos Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.01 | 0.42 | 0.01 | 12 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
123.76 | 123.34 | 0.34 |
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Leidos Holdings Hype Timeline
Leidos Holdings is now traded for 123.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.42, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Leidos is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 123.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 42.8%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Leidos Holdings is about 2195.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 123.77. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Leidos Holdings was now reported as 30.94. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.34. Leidos Holdings last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. The entity had 405:1000 split on the 30th of September 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Leidos Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Leidos Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Leidos Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leidos Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Leidos Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leidos Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| III | Information Services Group | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.66 | (3.93) | 12.37 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (0.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.72 | (3.33) | 11.98 | |
| CRAI | CRA International | 1.36 | 12 per month | 1.04 | 0.18 | 2.80 | (1.69) | 15.07 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | (0.26) | 3 per month | 0.64 | (0.05) | 0.98 | (1.06) | 3.20 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.48 | (0.48) | 1.21 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.28 | 0.04 | 3.60 | (3.74) | 13.41 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | (0.40) | 1 per month | 0.31 | (0.15) | 0.51 | (0.59) | 1.46 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 70082LAB3 | US70082LAB36 | 0.16 | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.52 | (1.89) | 17.21 |
Leidos Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Leidos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leidos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leidos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Leidos Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Leidos Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Leidos Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Leidos Holdings based on analysis of Leidos Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Leidos Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Leidos Holdings's related companies. | 2015 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0285 | 0.0159 | 0.0136 | 0.0151 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.81 | 0.91 | 0.96 | 0.58 |
Story Coverage note for Leidos Holdings
The number of cover stories for Leidos Holdings depends on current market conditions and Leidos Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leidos Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leidos Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Leidos Holdings Short Properties
Leidos Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Leidos Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Leidos Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Leidos Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leidos Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 777 M |
Check out Leidos Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Leidos Stock please use our How to Invest in Leidos Holdings guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for Leidos Stock analysis
When running Leidos Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Leidos Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leidos Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Leidos Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leidos Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leidos Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leidos Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Leidos Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Leidos Holdings. If investors know Leidos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Leidos Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.296 | Dividend Share 1.46 | Earnings Share 1.45 | Revenue Per Share 112.686 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.077 |
The market value of Leidos Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Leidos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Leidos Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Leidos Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Leidos Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Leidos Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Leidos Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Leidos Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Leidos Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.