Lowes Companies Stock Price Prediction

LOW Stock  USD 254.73  1.40  0.55%   
The value of RSI of Lowes Companies' the stock price is slightly above 66. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lowes, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Lowes Companies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lowes Companies shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lowes Companies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lowes Companies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lowes Companies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lowes Companies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lowes Companies' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.118
EPS Estimate Current Year
13.02
EPS Estimate Next Year
12.75
Wall Street Target Price
251.46
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.68
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lowes Companies based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lowes stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lowes Companies over a specific investment horizon. Using Lowes Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lowes Companies from the perspective of Lowes Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lowes Companies using Lowes Companies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lowes using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lowes Companies' stock price.

Lowes Companies Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Lowes Companies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lowes. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lowes Companies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Lowes Companies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lowes Companies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lowes Companies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
218.6027
Short Percent
0.0128
Short Ratio
2.72
Shares Short Prior Month
8.1 M
50 Day MA
231.3354

Lowes Companies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Lowes Companies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lowes. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lowes can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lowes Companies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lowes Companies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lowes Companies.

Lowes Companies Implied Volatility

    
  21.34  
Lowes Companies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lowes Companies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lowes Companies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lowes Companies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lowes Companies' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lowes Companies. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lowes Companies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lowes because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lowes Companies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 254.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lowes contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lowes Companies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.33% per day over the life of the 2024-03-28 option contract. With Lowes Companies trading at USD 254.73, that is roughly USD 3.4 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lowes Companies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lowes Companies options at the current volatility level of 21.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Lowes Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Lowes Stock please use our How to Invest in Lowes Companies guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lowes Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
214.96216.29278.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
255.88257.20258.53
Details
36 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
220.76242.59269.27
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.822.933.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lowes Companies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lowes Companies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lowes Companies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lowes Companies.

Lowes Companies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lowes Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lowes Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lowes Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lowes Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lowes Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lowes Companies' historical news coverage. Lowes Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 252.73 and 255.39, respectively. We have considered Lowes Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
254.73
252.73
Downside
254.06
After-hype Price
255.39
Upside
Lowes Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lowes Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lowes Companies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lowes Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lowes Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lowes Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
1.33
  0.73 
  0.13 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
254.73
254.06
0.29 
41.96  
Notes

Lowes Companies Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Lowes Companies is traded for 254.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.73, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Lowes is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 254.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 41.96%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Lowes Companies is about 240.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 254.60. The company reported the last year's revenue of 86.38 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 7.71 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 32.26 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Lowes Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Lowes Stock please use our How to Invest in Lowes Companies guide.

Lowes Companies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lowes Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lowes Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Lowes Companies rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lowes Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MMacys Inc(0.83)11 per month 2.26 (0.04) 3.75 (3.19) 16.61 
WWayfair 0.23 10 per month 3.31 (0.02) 8.19 (5.77) 17.32 
DIBS1StdibsCom(0.06)9 per month 2.42  0.1  8.04 (5.14) 17.90 
ANAutoNation(4.05)10 per month 1.80  0.02  3.41 (3.06) 8.21 
BQBoqii Holding Limited(0.08)1 per month 0.00 (0.17) 9.38 (9.09) 28.41 
FLFoot Locker(0.23)9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.07 (4.77) 36.40 
JDJD Inc Adr 0.50 11 per month 3.00 (0.03) 5.33 (4.87) 20.06 
LELands End 0.10 13 per month 2.96 (0.01) 5.38 (4.86) 15.67 

Lowes Companies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lowes price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lowes using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lowes charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lowes Companies Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lowes Companies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lowes Companies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lowes Companies based on analysis of Lowes Companies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lowes Companies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lowes Companies's related companies.
 2011 2013 2019 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio22.6434.0316.5821.1
Short Term Coverage Ratios80.043.387.951.41

Story Coverage note for Lowes Companies

The number of cover stories for Lowes Companies depends on current market conditions and Lowes Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lowes Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lowes Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lowes Companies Short Properties

Lowes Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lowes Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lowes Companies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lowes Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lowes Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding584 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B
When determining whether Lowes Companies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Lowes Companies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Lowes Companies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Lowes Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Lowes Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Lowes Stock please use our How to Invest in Lowes Companies guide.
You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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Is Lowes Companies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lowes Companies. If investors know Lowes will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lowes Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.118
Dividend Share
4.35
Earnings Share
13.2
Revenue Per Share
148.414
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
The market value of Lowes Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lowes that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lowes Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lowes Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lowes Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lowes Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lowes Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lowes Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lowes Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.