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Lundin risk analysis

 
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Lundin Petroleum AB

Stock@Stockholm Stock Exchange 
Sweden SEK
   
Use Lundin Petroleum AB (#SE0000825820SE) risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Lundin has beta of 0.38 indicating as returns on market go up, Lundin avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Lundin Petroleum AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, Lundin Petroleum AB has alpha of 0.38 implying that it can potentially generate 0.38% excess return over Stockholm after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
Lundin   Stockholm   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Lundin is -1752.86. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 3.0 and standard deviation of 1.73. The mean deviation of Lundin Petroleum AB is currently at 0.95. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Stockholm) has volatility of 0.66
alpha for Lundin Petroleum AB(alpha)= 0.38 
beta for Lundin Petroleum AB(beta) = 0.38 
volatility for Lundin Petroleum AB(volatility) = 1.73 

Actual Return Volatility

Lundin Petroleum AB accepts 1.73% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. Stockholm accepts 0.65% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
May 13 2013
 144.80 
  
 143.70 
(1.10)  Macroaxis: -0.7596685082873085 Down   0.76%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 03 2013
 154.70 
  
 155.40 
0.70  Macroaxis: 0.4524886877828165 Up   0.45%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Lundin Petroleum AB has a volatility of 1.73 and is 2.66 times more volatile than Stockholm. 22% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Lundin. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Lundin Petroleum AB is lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Lundin Petroleum AB to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend and little activity. As returns on market increase, Lundin returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Lundin will be expected to be smaller as well.

Lundin correlation with market

Average diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Lundin Petroleum AB and equity matching OMXSPI index in the same portfolio

Lundin Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.03)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.28)
Mean Deviation0.9519
Semi-Deviation2.49
Downside Deviation2.29
Coefficient Of Variation(1,753)
Standard Deviation1.73

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