Macys Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

M -- USA Stock  

USD 37.70  0.95  2.46%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Macys headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Macys brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Macys hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Macys from the prospective of Macys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Macys over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Macys After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Macys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 21, 2018
37.70
Current Value
37.70
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
43.31
Upside
Macys is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Macys is based on 1 month time horizon.

Macys Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06% 1.87% 0.00%  0.01% 3 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.7037.700.00%
2,338% 

Macys Hype Timeline

As of July 21, 2018 Macys is listed for 37.70. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Macys is expected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 2337.5%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small where as daily expected return is now at -0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Macys is about 831.11%%. The volatility of related hype on Macys is about 831.11% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 37.69. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.92. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Macys recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.22. This company last dividend was issued on 2018-06-14. The firm had 2:1 split on 2006-06-12. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 3 days.
Please see also Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Macys Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Macys(0.08) 3 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.70 (2.73)  5.14 
Companhia Brasileira de Distribuio(0.12) 4 per month 2.65 (0.0365)  2.81 (4.16)  6.97 
Dillards(0.88) 6 per month 0.00 (0.49)  1.35 (2.95)  5.56 
J C Penney Company 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.19)  4.49 (5.49)  10.00 
Nordstrom(1.07) 6 per month 1.72 (0.0278)  2.55 (2.67)  6.06 
Kohls Corporation 0.36 7 per month 0.00 (0.18)  2.20 (2.15)  5.65 
The Travelers Companies(0.31) 5 per month 1.49 (0.11)  1.23 (1.23)  5.51 
E I du Pont de Nemours and Company 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
International Business Machines Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
General Electric Company(0.16) 4 per month 1.65 (0.0097)  3.13 (2.30)  9.53 

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Please see also Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
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