Macys Price Prediction

Macys -- USA Stock  

USD 30.50  0.04  0.13%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Macys headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Macys brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Macys hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Macys from the prospective of Macys response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Macys over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Macys After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Macys Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

April 25, 2018
30.50
Current Value
30.88
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
37.27
Upside
Macys is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Macys is based on 2 months time horizon.

Macys Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.27% 2.13% 0.38%  0.07% 3 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.5030.881.25%
150.00% 

Macys Hype Timeline

As of April 25, 2018 Macys is listed for 30.50. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.38 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Macys is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 30.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 150.0%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 1.25% where as daily expected return is now at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Macys is about 880.17% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 30.57. The company reported annual revenue of 24.84 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 1.55 B with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 9.69 B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 3 days.
Please see also Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Macys Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Macys 1.42 3 per month 1.52  0.19  3.79 (3.34)  8.00 
Dollar General Corporation(0.57) 3 per month 1.63  0.0518  2.88 (2.69)  7.44 
The Home Depot 0.98 2 per month 0.00 (0.0292)  2.37 (1.99)  5.66 
Dollar Tree(0.34) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0519)  2.32 (1.71)  16.15 
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.50) 2 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.51 (5.09)  13.55 
Aarons 1.91 3 per month 1.52  0.0679  2.26 (2.86)  6.59 
Best Buy Co(0.95) 3 per month 1.85  0.0631  3.64 (2.73)  8.03 
Big Lots 0.13 1 per month 0.00 (0.24)  2.21 (3.11)  12.30 
Barnes Noble(0.1) 3 per month 2.49  0.21  6.00 (3.33)  13.71 
Fossil Group 0.44 2 per month 3.16  0.0452  4.30 (4.31)  14.68 

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Please see also Macys Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.