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Mobile risk analysis

 
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Mobile Telesystems OJSC

Stock@New York Stock Exchange 
United States USD
   
0.86 times
   
Macroaxis considers Mobile not very risky. Mobile Telesystems OJSC has Sharpe Ratio of -0.12 which conveys that Mobile Telesystems OJSC had -0.12% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Macroaxis philosophy towards estimating risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Mobile exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Mobile Telesystems OJSC Downside Deviation of 2.62, Mean Deviation of 1.62 and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10) to check out risk estimate we provide.
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Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 1.41 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Mobile will likely underperform. In addition to that, Mobile Telesystems OJSC has alpha of 1.41 implying that it can potentially generate 1.41% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
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Returns   
S&P 500   Mobile   
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of Mobile is -832.9. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 4.08 and standard deviation of 2.02. The mean deviation of Mobile Telesystems OJSC is currently at 1.62. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.84
alpha for Mobile Telesystems OJSC(alpha)= 1.41 
beta for Mobile Telesystems OJSC(beta) = 1.41 
volatility for Mobile Telesystems OJSC(volatility) = 2.02 

Actual Return Volatility

Mobile Telesystems OJSC has volatility of 2.02% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.84% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
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June 11 2013
 18.05 
  
 18.21 
0.16  Macroaxis: 0.8864265927977847 Up   0.89%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 21 2013
 20.42 
  
 20.74 
0.32  Macroaxis: 1.5670910871694255 Up   1.57%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Mobile Telesystems OJSC has a volatility of 2.02 and is 2.4 times more volatile than S&P 500. 25% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Mobile. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Mobile Telesystems OJSC is lower than 25 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Mobile Telesystems OJSC to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mobile will likely underperform.

Mobile correlation with market

Very weak diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Mobile Telesystems OJSC and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Mobile Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.10)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.17)
Mean Deviation1.62
Semi-Deviation2.85
Downside Deviation2.62
Coefficient Of Variation(833)
Standard Deviation2.02

Suggested Divercification Pairs

Waddell Reed Financial Inc vs. Mobile Telesystems OJSC
First Majestic Silver Corp vs. Mobile Telesystems OJSC
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Berkshire Hathaway Inc vs. Mobile Telesystems OJSC
S1 Corporation vs. Mobile Telesystems OJSC
Del Friscos Restaurant Group Inc vs. Mobile Telesystems OJSC
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Transocean Ltd vs. Mobile Telesystems OJSC

 
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