Mcphy Energy (France) Price Prediction

MCPHY Stock  EUR 1.90  0.05  2.70%   
At this time, The value of RSI of Mcphy Energy's share price is at 54. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mcphy Energy, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Mcphy Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Mcphy Energy shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Mcphy Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mcphy Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mcphy Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mcphy Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Mcphy Energy based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Mcphy stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Mcphy Energy over a specific investment horizon. Using Mcphy Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mcphy Energy from the perspective of Mcphy Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Mcphy Energy. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mcphy Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mcphy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mcphy Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 1.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mcphy Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mcphy Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.716.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.646.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.831.891.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mcphy Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mcphy Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mcphy Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mcphy Energy.

Mcphy Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mcphy Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mcphy Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mcphy Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mcphy Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mcphy Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mcphy Energy's historical news coverage. Mcphy Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 6.77, respectively. We have considered Mcphy Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.90
1.90
After-hype Price
6.77
Upside
Mcphy Energy is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mcphy Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mcphy Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mcphy Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mcphy Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mcphy Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.53 
4.87
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.90
1.90
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Mcphy Energy Hype Timeline

Mcphy Energy is now traded for 1.90on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mcphy is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mcphy Energy is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.90. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Mcphy Energy was now reported as 5.47. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.29. Mcphy Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Mcphy Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mcphy Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mcphy Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mcphy Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Mcphy Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mcphy Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Mcphy Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mcphy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mcphy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mcphy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mcphy Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mcphy Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mcphy Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mcphy Energy based on analysis of Mcphy Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mcphy Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mcphy Energy's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Mcphy Energy

The number of cover stories for Mcphy Energy depends on current market conditions and Mcphy Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mcphy Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mcphy Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Mcphy Energy Short Properties

Mcphy Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mcphy Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mcphy Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mcphy Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mcphy Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding28.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments177.2 M
Check out Mcphy Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

Complementary Tools for Mcphy Stock analysis

When running Mcphy Energy's price analysis, check to measure Mcphy Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mcphy Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Mcphy Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mcphy Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mcphy Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mcphy Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Mcphy Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mcphy Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mcphy Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.