MetLife Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MET -- USA Stock  

USD 46.53  0.34  0.73%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MetLife which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MetLife hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MetLife from the prospective of MetLife response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MetLife over a specific investment horizon. Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MetLife After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

MetLife Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 19, 2018
46.53
Current Value
46.51
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
49.87
Upside
MetLife is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MetLife is based on 1 month time horizon.

MetLife Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08% 1.12% 0.02%  0.01% 4 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
46.5346.510.04%
486.96% 

MetLife Hype Timeline

On 19 of September MetLife is traded for 46.53. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. MetLife is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 46.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 486.96%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04% where as daily expected return is now at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on MetLife is about 898.16% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 46.54. About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MetLife has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.7. This company last dividend was issued on 2018-08-03. The firm had a split on 2017-08-07. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days.
Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MetLife Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FGL Holdings(0.08) 4 per month 0.00 (0.36)  1.26 (1.67)  4.93 
Emergent Capital 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.23 (9.37)  26.40 
American Equity Investment Life Holding Company(0.32) 4 per month 0.00 (0.32)  1.33 (1.31)  2.91 
Aflac Incorporated(0.21) 4 per month 0.43 (0.15)  1.09 (0.69)  1.99 
Brighthouse Financial 0.72 3 per month 1.13 (0.0499)  2.89 (2.78)  6.25 
Citizens(0.02) 3 per month 1.27  0.08  2.60 (1.41)  14.61 
CNO Financial Group 0.42 4 per month 0.62 (0.05)  2.43 (1.04)  3.44 
FBL Financial Group 0.90 3 per month 0.49 (0.06)  1.31 (1.22)  2.66 
Independence Holding Company 0.18 4 per month 0.00 (0.22)  1.83 (1.80)  5.45 
China Life Insurance Company Limited(0.34) 1 per month 0.00 (0.18)  4.32 (4.14)  12.60 

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Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
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