MetLife Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MET -- USA Stock  

USD 46.08  0.55  1.18%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring MetLife headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MetLife brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MetLife hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MetLife from the prospective of MetLife response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MetLife over a specific investment horizon. Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MetLife After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

MetLife Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 19, 2018
46.08
Current Value
46.65
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
51.12
Upside
MetLife is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MetLife is based on 1 month time horizon.

MetLife Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.14% 1.49% 0.02%  0.13% 6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
46.0846.650.04%
1,355% 

MetLife Hype Timeline

On 19 of June MetLife is traded for 46.08. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. MetLife is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 46.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1354.55%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.04% where as daily expected return is now at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on MetLife is about 163.92% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 45.95. The company reported last year revenue of 62.27 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.89 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 24 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MetLife Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Alleghany Corporation(4.79) 3 per month 0.80  0.06  1.64 (1.21)  2.85 
Chubb Limited(0.93) 6 per month 0.00 (0.16)  0.99 (1.97)  3.81 
Everest Re Group Ltd(0.81) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0333)  0.87 (1.09)  2.25 
XL(0.04) 3 per month 0.00  0.26  0.54 (0.18)  1.12 
Erie Indemnity Company(1.06) 6 per month 0.61  0.27  1.61 (1.10)  3.74 
American Financial Group(0.14) 4 per month 0.00 (0.0389)  0.79 (1.24)  3.73 
American International Group(0.07) 6 per month 1.03  0.07  1.71 (1.78)  3.35 
Assurant(0.03) 5 per month 1.59  0.0381  2.09 (2.14)  5.34 
The Allstate Corporation(0.09) 6 per month 0.00 (0.17)  0.73 (0.94)  1.99 
Aon plc(1.13) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0231)  0.93 (0.75)  3.30 

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Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fund Screener module to find activelly-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.