MetLife Price Prediction

MetLife Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 47.47  0.84  1.80%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring MetLife headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MetLife Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MetLife hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MetLife Inc from the prospective of MetLife response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MetLife over a specific investment horizon. Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MetLife Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
February 24, 2018
47.47
Current Value
Downside upside
47.92
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
55.63
Upside
Upside upside
MetLife is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MetLife Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

MetLife Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.58% 2.57% 0.45%  0.55% 1 Events / Month2 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
47.4747.920.95%
333.77% 

MetLife Hype Timeline

On 24 of February MetLife Inc is traded for 47.47. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.45 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.55. MetLife Inc is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 47.92. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 333.77%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.95% where as daily expected return is now at -0.58%. The volatility of related hype on MetLife is about 271.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 46.92. The company reported last year revenue of 62.09 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 4.63 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 22.67 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MetLife Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Alleghany Corporation(8.79) 2 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  2.09 (3.65)  5.32 
Chubb Limited(1.80) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0251)  0.00  2.02 (3.85)  6.85 
Everest Re Group Ltd 3.26 1 per month 0.76  0.26 (2.02)  1.85 (1.82)  9.78 
XL Group Ltd 0.22 1 per month 0.00  0.35 (2.38)  3.97 (1.76)  14.31 
Erie Indemnity Company 1.10 2 per month 0.00  0.0482  0.00  1.62 (2.47)  5.21 
American Financial Group Inc 0.33 1 per month 2.45  0.13 (1.13)  1.33 (3.65)  10.74