MetLife Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MET -- USA Stock  

USD 38.89  0.63  1.59%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MetLife which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MetLife hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MetLife from the prospective of MetLife response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MetLife over a specific investment horizon. Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MetLife After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

MetLife Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 17, 2018
38.89
Current Value
38.80
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
44.65
Upside
MetLife is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MetLife is based on 2 months time horizon.

MetLife Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.26% 1.95% 0.07%  0.04% 6 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.8938.800.23%
696.43% 

MetLife Hype Timeline

On 17 of December MetLife is traded for 38.89. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. MetLife is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 38.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 696.43%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.23% where as daily expected return is now at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on MetLife is about 1164.74% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 38.85. About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MetLife has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.45. This company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.07. The firm last dividend was issued on 2018-11-05. MetLife had a split on 2017-08-07. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MetLife Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FGL Holdings(0.12) 9 per month 0.00 (0.26)  2.13 (3.58)  9.65 
Emergent Capital(0.01) 6 per month 0.00 (0.15)  10.53 (16.67)  47.27 
American Equity Investment Life Holding Company(0.79) 9 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.59 (3.84)  12.28 
Aflac Incorporated 1.03 6 per month 1.55  0.09  2.03 (2.49)  6.30 
Brighthouse Financial 0.18 7 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.72 (4.33)  11.83 
Citizens 0.11 6 per month 0.00  0.0312  2.62 (3.40)  9.18 
CNO Financial Group(0.96) 7 per month 0.00 (0.21)  2.08 (3.67)  8.93 
FBL Financial Group(1.16) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0092)  1.49 (2.20)  5.66 
Independence Holding Company 0.11 7 per month 1.15  0.14  2.69 (1.64)  9.29 
China Life Insurance Company Limited(0.06) 5 per month 0.00  0.0211  2.88 (3.58)  8.62 

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