MetLife Price Prediction

MetLife Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 52.38  0.49  0.93%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring MetLife headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MetLife Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MetLife hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MetLife Inc from the prospective of MetLife response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MetLife over a specific investment horizon. Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MetLife estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 17, 2017
52.38
Current Value
Downside upside
52.39
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
57.85
Upside
Upside upside
MetLife is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MetLife Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

MetLife Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.32% 0.65% 0.23%  0.09% 2 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
52.3852.390.02%
91.55% 

MetLife Hype Timeline

On 17 of October MetLife Inc is traded for  52.38 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.23 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. MetLife Inc is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 52.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 91.55%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is now at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on MetLife is about 239.26% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 52.47. The company reported last year revenue of 63.21 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 96 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 22.67 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Please see also MetLife Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MetLife Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Alleghany Corporation 3.61 1 per month 0.00 (0.32)  0.00  0.86 (1.2)  2.71 
Chubb Limited 0.02 1 per month 0.00  0.0984 (0.61)  1.54 (0.65)  2.61 
Everest Re Group Ltd(1.46) 2 per month 0.65  0.0427 (1.51)  2.47 (1.03)  7.03 
XL Group Ltd 0.25 1 per month 1.05  0.14 (1.19)  2.95 (1.63)  4.58 
Erie Indemnity Company(0.22) 1 per month 1.25 (0.0516) (0.81)  1.33 (2.29)  4.57 
American Financial Group Inc(0.57) 1 per month 0.04 (0.0318) (0.47)  0.79 (0.5)  1.62