Ag Mortgage Investment Stock Price Prediction
| MITT Stock | USD 5.58 0.06 1.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
AG Mortgage Investment stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AG Mortgage shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AG Mortgage's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AG Mortgage and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AG Mortgage's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AG Mortgage Investment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting AG Mortgage's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.13 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.15 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.65 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.74 | Wall Street Target Price 7.25 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AG Mortgage based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The MITT stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AG Mortgage over a specific investment horizon. Using AG Mortgage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AG Mortgage Investment from the perspective of AG Mortgage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AG Mortgage using AG Mortgage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MITT using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AG Mortgage's stock price.
AG Mortgage Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
AG Mortgage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AG Mortgage Investment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AG Mortgage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AG Mortgage stock will not fluctuate a lot when AG Mortgage's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AG Mortgage. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AG Mortgage to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MITT because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AG Mortgage after-hype prediction price | USD 5.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MITT |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AG Mortgage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AG Mortgage After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AG Mortgage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AG Mortgage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AG Mortgage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AG Mortgage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AG Mortgage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AG Mortgage's historical news coverage. AG Mortgage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.67 and 7.39, respectively. We have considered AG Mortgage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AG Mortgage is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AG Mortgage Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
AG Mortgage Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AG Mortgage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AG Mortgage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AG Mortgage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.86 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.58 | 5.53 | 0.90 |
|
AG Mortgage Hype Timeline
AG Mortgage Investment is now traded for 5.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. MITT is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.9%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on AG Mortgage is about 1102.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.56. About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. AG Mortgage Investment last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. The entity had 1:3 split on the 23rd of July 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out AG Mortgage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AG Mortgage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AG Mortgage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AG Mortgage's future price movements. Getting to know how AG Mortgage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AG Mortgage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
AG Mortgage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MITT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MITT using various technical indicators. When you analyze MITT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AG Mortgage Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AG Mortgage stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AG Mortgage Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AG Mortgage based on analysis of AG Mortgage hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AG Mortgage's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AG Mortgage's related companies. | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.26 | Dividend Yield | 0.34 | 0.18 | 0.31 |
Story Coverage note for AG Mortgage
The number of cover stories for AG Mortgage depends on current market conditions and AG Mortgage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AG Mortgage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AG Mortgage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
AG Mortgage Short Properties
AG Mortgage's future price predictability will typically decrease when AG Mortgage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AG Mortgage Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AG Mortgage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AG Mortgage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 125.6 M |
Check out AG Mortgage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Complementary Tools for MITT Stock analysis
When running AG Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure AG Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AG Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of AG Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AG Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AG Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AG Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Sign In To Macroaxis Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules |
Is AG Mortgage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AG Mortgage. If investors know MITT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AG Mortgage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.13 | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 1.68 | Revenue Per Share 3.018 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) |
The market value of AG Mortgage Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MITT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AG Mortgage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AG Mortgage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AG Mortgage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AG Mortgage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AG Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AG Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AG Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.