Metropolitan Kentjana (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| MKPI Stock | IDR 28,050 50.00 0.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Metropolitan Kentjana shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Metropolitan Kentjana's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Metropolitan Kentjana and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Metropolitan Kentjana's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Metropolitan Kentjana based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Metropolitan stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Metropolitan Kentjana over a specific investment horizon. Using Metropolitan Kentjana hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk from the perspective of Metropolitan Kentjana response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Metropolitan Kentjana. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Metropolitan Kentjana to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Metropolitan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Metropolitan Kentjana after-hype prediction price | IDR 28000.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Metropolitan |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Metropolitan Kentjana's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Metropolitan Kentjana After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Metropolitan Kentjana at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Metropolitan Kentjana or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Metropolitan Kentjana, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Metropolitan Kentjana Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Metropolitan Kentjana's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Metropolitan Kentjana's historical news coverage. Metropolitan Kentjana's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27,999 and 28,001, respectively. We have considered Metropolitan Kentjana's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Metropolitan Kentjana is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.
Metropolitan Kentjana Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Metropolitan Kentjana is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Metropolitan Kentjana backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Metropolitan Kentjana, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28,050 | 28,000 | 0.00 |
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Metropolitan Kentjana Hype Timeline
Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk is now traded for 28,050on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Metropolitan is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Metropolitan Kentjana is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28,050. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Metropolitan Kentjana was now reported as 6541.58. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 102.19. Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk recorded earning per share (EPS) of 677.34. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of July 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Metropolitan Kentjana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Metropolitan Kentjana Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Metropolitan Kentjana's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Metropolitan Kentjana's future price movements. Getting to know how Metropolitan Kentjana's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Metropolitan Kentjana may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JRPT | Jaya Real Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.50 | (2.21) | 4.53 | |
| MTLA | Metropolitan Land Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.08 | (2.37) | 5.62 | |
| DUTI | Duta Pertiwi Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.88 | (3.13) | 7.84 | |
| OMRE | Indonesia Prima Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.81 | (4.95) | 18.54 | |
| KPIG | Mnc Land Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.64 | (1.61) | 6.40 |
Metropolitan Kentjana Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Metropolitan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Metropolitan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Metropolitan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Metropolitan Kentjana Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Metropolitan Kentjana stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Metropolitan Kentjana based on analysis of Metropolitan Kentjana hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Metropolitan Kentjana's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Metropolitan Kentjana's related companies. Story Coverage note for Metropolitan Kentjana
The number of cover stories for Metropolitan Kentjana depends on current market conditions and Metropolitan Kentjana's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Metropolitan Kentjana is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Metropolitan Kentjana's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Metropolitan Kentjana Short Properties
Metropolitan Kentjana's future price predictability will typically decrease when Metropolitan Kentjana's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Metropolitan Kentjana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Metropolitan Kentjana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 948.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 713.5 B |
Check out Metropolitan Kentjana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Metropolitan Stock analysis
When running Metropolitan Kentjana's price analysis, check to measure Metropolitan Kentjana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Metropolitan Kentjana is operating at the current time. Most of Metropolitan Kentjana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Metropolitan Kentjana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Metropolitan Kentjana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Metropolitan Kentjana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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