Mrc Global Stock Price Prediction
| MRC Stock | USD 12.05 0.23 1.95% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
MRC Global stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of MRC Global shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of MRC Global's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MRC Global and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MRC Global's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MRC Global, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting MRC Global's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.27 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.06 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.41 | Wall Street Target Price 15.3 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of MRC Global based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The MRC stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MRC Global over a specific investment horizon. Using MRC Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MRC Global from the perspective of MRC Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MRC Global using MRC Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MRC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MRC Global's stock price.
MRC Global Implied Volatility | 51.46 |
MRC Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MRC Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MRC Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MRC Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when MRC Global's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in MRC Global. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MRC Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MRC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MRC Global after-hype prediction price | USD 11.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
MRC |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MRC Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MRC Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MRC Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MRC Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MRC Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MRC Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MRC Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MRC Global's historical news coverage. MRC Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.78 and 14.20, respectively. We have considered MRC Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MRC Global is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MRC Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
MRC Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MRC Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MRC Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MRC Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.21 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.05 | 11.99 | 0.50 |
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MRC Global Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April MRC Global is traded for 12.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. MRC is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on MRC Global is about 6314.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.04. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of MRC Global was now reported as 5.79. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. MRC Global had 1:1 split on the July 6, 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out MRC Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MRC Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MRC Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MRC Global's future price movements. Getting to know how MRC Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MRC Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DRQ | Dril Quip | 0.45 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.43 | (4.89) | 17.81 | |
| NOV | NOV Inc | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.50 | (2.34) | 15.21 | |
| SOI | Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure | 0.34 | 9 per month | 1.76 | 0.12 | 3.77 | (3.27) | 12.73 | |
| RNGR | Ranger Energy Services | (0.68) | 9 per month | 1.88 | 0.05 | 3.06 | (3.11) | 13.34 | |
| OIS | Oil States International | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.26 | (4.55) | 10.87 | |
| GEOS | Geospace Technologies | (0.37) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.54 | (5.20) | 20.16 | |
| NOA | North American Construction | (0.45) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.32 | (2.73) | 13.72 | |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services | 0.14 | 8 per month | 1.20 | 0.29 | 4.20 | (2.93) | 14.70 | |
| XPRO | Expro Group Holdings | 0.38 | 9 per month | 1.97 | 0.06 | 3.28 | (3.07) | 10.56 | |
| CHX | ChampionX | (0.17) | 9 per month | 1.01 | 0.17 | 4.00 | (2.16) | 13.72 |
MRC Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MRC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MRC using various technical indicators. When you analyze MRC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MRC Global Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MRC Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MRC Global, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MRC Global based on analysis of MRC Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MRC Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MRC Global's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0259 | 0.0158 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.27 | 0.41 |
Story Coverage note for MRC Global
The number of cover stories for MRC Global depends on current market conditions and MRC Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MRC Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MRC Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MRC Global Short Properties
MRC Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when MRC Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MRC Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MRC Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MRC Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 131 M |
Check out MRC Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade MRC Stock refer to our How to Trade MRC Stock guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for MRC Stock analysis
When running MRC Global's price analysis, check to measure MRC Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MRC Global is operating at the current time. Most of MRC Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MRC Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MRC Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MRC Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is MRC Global's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MRC Global. If investors know MRC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MRC Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Earnings Share 1.05 | Revenue Per Share 40.523 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets 0.0618 |
The market value of MRC Global is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MRC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MRC Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MRC Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MRC Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MRC Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MRC Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MRC Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MRC Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.