Microsoft Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MSFT -- USA Stock  

USD 100.41  0.73  0.72%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Microsoft headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Microsoft Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Microsoft hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Microsoft Corporation from the prospective of Microsoft response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Microsoft over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Microsoft Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Microsoft After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Microsoft Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 25, 2018
100.41
Current Value
100.24
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
102.79
Upside
Microsoft is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Microsoft is based on 1 month time horizon.

Microsoft Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.12% 0.85% 0.17%  0.09% 5 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
100.41100.240.17%
61.59% 

Microsoft Hype Timeline

Microsoft Corporation is now traded for100.41. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.17 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Microsoft Corporation is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 100.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 61.59%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.17% where as daily expected return is now at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Microsoft is about 116.28% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 100.5. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.14. Microsoft Corporation last dividend was issued on 2018-05-16. This company had 2:1 split on 2003-02-18. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Please see also Microsoft Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Microsoft Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Fiserv 0.80 6 per month 0.00  0.31  1.56 (0.56)  3.12 
Amdocs Limited 0.53 3 per month 0.43  0.28  1.11 (0.77)  3.29 
Red Hat 0.68 3 per month 0.00 (0.18)  1.70 (3.19)  6.57 
INTU 1.21 2 per month 0.80  0.23  1.43 (1.74)  3.98 
Kingtone Wirelessinfo Solution Holding Ltd(0.18) 2 per month 2.10  0.18  4.10 (3.53)  12.50 
ManTech International Corporation 0.53 5 per month 1.08  0.09  1.61 (1.60)  5.04 
MIND C T I Ltd 0.03 2 per month 0.00 (0.18)  1.80 (1.76)  3.59 
Microsoft Corporation(1.38) 5 per month 0.67  0.10  1.00 (1.27)  3.54 
Oracle Corporation 0.04 5 per month 0.00 (0.12)  1.71 (4.91)  9.16 
Palo Alto Networks 5.05 4 per month 1.28  0.0154  2.71 (2.21)  5.67 

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Please see also Microsoft Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.