National American Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

NAUH -- USA Stock  

USD 0.95  0.0382  4.19%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring National American headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National American University Holdings brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With National American hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of National American University Holdings from the prospective of National American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on National American over a specific investment horizon. Please see also National American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

National American After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

National American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 21, 2018
0.95
Current Value
0.95
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
21.74
Upside
National American is abnormally risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National American Un is based on 1 month time horizon.

National American Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.05% 6.93% 0.00%  0.01% 3 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.950.950.00%
35,722% 

National American Hype Timeline

National American University Holdings is now traded for0.95. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. National American University Holdings is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 35721.65%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is now at 0.05%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to National American is about 2349.15%%. The volatility of related hype on National American is about 2349.15% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.96. About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.3. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National American University Holdings recorded loss per share of 0.51. This company last dividend was issued on 2017-09-28. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
Please see also National American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

National American Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
China Distance Education Holdings Limited(0.05) 3 per month 1.12 (0.017)  2.50 (1.60)  6.12 
Franklin Covey Co(0.25) 3 per month 0.00 (0.28)  4.28 (4.90)  8.99 
Four Seasons Education 0.02 1 per month 0.00 (0.37)  1.92 (6.40)  8.72 
Bridgepoint Education 0.12 3 per month 1.83  0.06  5.11 (3.20)  5.84 
China Online Education Group 0.07 2 per month 0.00 (0.19)  2.66 (3.45)  10.67 
New Oriental Education Technology Group(1.46) 4 per month 0.00 (0.30)  2.88 (3.22)  6.22 
Graham Holdings Company 2.80 5 per month 0.00 (0.44)  0.85 (2.22)  3.80 
GP Strategies Corporation 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.22)  2.77 (2.82)  6.83 
Hailiang Education Group 1.81 2 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.67 (3.34)  6.62 
K12(0.11) 4 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.16 (2.11)  4.87 

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Please see also National American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art portfolio manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
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