National American Price Prediction

National American University Holdings Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 1.45  0.0389  2.76%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring National American headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National American University Holdings Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With National American hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of National American University Holdings Inc from the prospective of National American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on National American over a specific investment horizon. Please see also National American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

National American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
December 15, 2017
1.45
Current Value
Downside upside
1.41
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
13.62
Upside
Upside upside
National American is abnormally risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National American Un is based on 1 month time horizon.

National American Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.47% 4.07% 0.04%  0.01% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.451.412.76%
4,522% 

National American Hype Timeline

National American University Holdings Inc is now traded for 1.45 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. National American University Holdings Inc is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 1.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 4522.22%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.76% where as daily expected return is now at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on National American is about 17442.86% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.44. About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.36. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National American University Holdings Inc recorded loss per share of 0.33. This company last dividend was issued on 2017-09-28. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Please see also National American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

National American Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Ryder System Inc 0.09 1 per month 1.55 (0.0272) (1.12)  2.95 (1.34)  7.83 
China Distance Education Holdings Limited 0.08 1 per month 0.00  0.19 (2.12)  5.61 (0.95)  13.67 
GK Services Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) (0.44)  0.41 (0.35)  2.89 
SP Plus Corporation(0.35) 2 per month 0.72  0.0472 (1.34)  2.37 (1.14)  4.42 
Education Management Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
eHi Car Services Limited 0.04 1 per month 1.57  0.0676 (2.07)  3.48 (2.26)  12.53