Nasdaq Inc Stock Price Prediction
NDAQ Stock | USD 60.07 0.06 0.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Nasdaq Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Nasdaq shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Nasdaq's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nasdaq and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nasdaq's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nasdaq Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nasdaq's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.65 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.79 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.14 | Wall Street Target Price 66.6 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Nasdaq based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Nasdaq stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Nasdaq over a specific investment horizon. Using Nasdaq hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nasdaq Inc from the perspective of Nasdaq response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nasdaq using Nasdaq's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nasdaq using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nasdaq's stock price.
Nasdaq Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Nasdaq's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Nasdaq. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Nasdaq stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Nasdaq may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nasdaq and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nasdaq with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 54.122 | Short Percent 0.0112 | Short Ratio 1.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 59.048 |
Nasdaq Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nasdaq's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nasdaq. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nasdaq can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nasdaq Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nasdaq's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nasdaq.
Nasdaq Implied Volatility | 49.8 |
Nasdaq's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nasdaq Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nasdaq's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nasdaq stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nasdaq's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Nasdaq. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nasdaq to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nasdaq because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nasdaq after-hype prediction price | USD 60.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nasdaq contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nasdaq Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.11% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Nasdaq trading at USD 60.07, that is roughly USD 1.87 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nasdaq's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nasdaq Inc options at the current volatility level of 49.8%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Nasdaq |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nasdaq's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nasdaq After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nasdaq at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nasdaq or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nasdaq, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Nasdaq Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nasdaq's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nasdaq's historical news coverage. Nasdaq's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.15 and 61.49, respectively. We have considered Nasdaq's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nasdaq is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nasdaq Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nasdaq Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nasdaq is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nasdaq backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nasdaq, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.17 | 0.08 | 0.21 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
60.07 | 60.32 | 0.12 |
|
Nasdaq Hype Timeline
Nasdaq Inc is now traded for 60.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.21. Nasdaq is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 60.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 118.18%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Nasdaq is about 45.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.86. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 6.06 B. Net Income was 1.06 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.58 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Nasdaq Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nasdaq Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nasdaq's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nasdaq's future price movements. Getting to know how Nasdaq's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nasdaq may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
SPGI | SP Global | (4.75) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.06 | (1.97) | 7.00 | |
MCO | Moodys | (1.27) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 1.80 | (1.69) | 10.62 | |
MSCI | MSCI Inc | 3.14 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.22 | (2.26) | 13.22 | |
FDS | FactSet Research Systems | (7.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.60 | (2.50) | 9.93 |
Nasdaq Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nasdaq price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nasdaq using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nasdaq charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Nasdaq Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nasdaq stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nasdaq Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nasdaq based on analysis of Nasdaq hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nasdaq's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nasdaq's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.01 | 0.0127 | 0.015 | 0.0143 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.92 | 4.85 | 4.84 | 5.08 |
Story Coverage note for Nasdaq
The number of cover stories for Nasdaq depends on current market conditions and Nasdaq's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nasdaq is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nasdaq's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Nasdaq Short Properties
Nasdaq's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nasdaq's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nasdaq Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nasdaq's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nasdaq's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 508.4 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 661 M |
Check out Nasdaq Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Nasdaq Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nasdaq's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Nasdaq Stock analysis
When running Nasdaq's price analysis, check to measure Nasdaq's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nasdaq is operating at the current time. Most of Nasdaq's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nasdaq's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nasdaq's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nasdaq to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world |
Is Nasdaq's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nasdaq. If investors know Nasdaq will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nasdaq listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | Dividend Share 0.86 | Earnings Share 2.08 | Revenue Per Share 12.01 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.041 |
The market value of Nasdaq Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nasdaq that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nasdaq's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nasdaq's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nasdaq's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nasdaq's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nasdaq's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nasdaq is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nasdaq's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.