Netflix Stock Analysis

NFLX Stock  USD 613.69  3.83  0.62%   
Netflix is overvalued with Real Value of 565.66 and Target Price of 433.98. The main objective of Netflix stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Netflix is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Netflix's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Netflix's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Netflix's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Netflix stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Netflix is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Netflix Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Netflix's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Netflix. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For more information on how to buy Netflix Stock please use our How to Invest in Netflix guide.

Netflix Stock Analysis Notes

About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.72. Netflix recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.03. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 7:1 split on the 15th of July 2015. It offers TV series, documentaries, feature films, and mobile games across various genres and languages. Netflix, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California. Netflix operates under Entertainment classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 11300 people. To find out more about Netflix contact Reed Hastings at (408) 540-3700 or learn more at https://www.netflix.com.

Netflix Quarterly Total Revenue

8.83 Billion

Netflix Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Netflix's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Netflix or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Netflix is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from ajc.com: Prince Harry scores goal in charity polo match as Meghan, Netflix cameras look on

Netflix Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Netflix to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Netflix previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
16th of April 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
17th of July 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of March 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
28th of January 2025
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of December 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Netflix Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Netflix's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2003-01-15
2002-12-31-0.01-0.0117-0.001717 
2003-04-17
2003-03-31-0.01-0.0142-0.004242 
2002-10-18
2002-09-30-0.01-0.00550.004545 
View All Earnings Estimates

Netflix Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Netflix stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Artificial Intelligence Idea
Artificial Intelligence
Firms and funds that are developing tools for artificial intelligence
Corona Opportunity Idea
Corona Opportunity
Coronavirus related entities to consider during and after the outbreak
Compulsion Idea
Compulsion
Addiction driven consumer products and services
Millennials Best Idea
Millennials Best
Firms that are involved in making products or providing services to millennials
Entertainment Idea
Entertainment
USA Equities from Entertainment industry as classified by Fama & French

Netflix Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Netflix is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Netflix backward and forwards among themselves. Netflix's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Netflix's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jennison Associates Llc2023-12-31
5.5 M
Bank Of America Corp2023-12-31
5.4 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
5.3 M
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2023-12-31
4.8 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
4.8 M
Edgewood Management Llc2023-12-31
4.6 M
Loomis, Sayles & Company Lp2023-12-31
4.5 M
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
4.4 M
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
4.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
36.4 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
30.9 M
Note, although Netflix's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Netflix Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 267.24 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Netflix's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Netflix's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Netflix Profitablity

Netflix's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Netflix's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Netflix is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Netflix's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Netflix's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Netflix's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.16 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.17 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.17.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.32  0.33 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.11  0.12 
Return On Equity 0.26  0.25 

Management Efficiency

Netflix has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0893 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0893 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.2615 %, meaning that it created $0.2615 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Netflix's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Netflix manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, Netflix's Return On Tangible Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Return On Capital Employed is likely to rise to 0.18 in 2024, whereas Return On Equity is likely to drop 0.25 in 2024. At this time, Netflix's Total Assets are fairly stable compared to the past year. Total Current Assets is likely to rise to about 10.4 B in 2024, whereas Other Assets are likely to drop slightly above 2.8 B in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 46.63  48.96 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(25.07)(23.82)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 10.34  7.57 
Price Book Value Ratio 10.44  9.89 
Enterprise Value Multiple 10.34  7.57 
Price Fair Value 10.44  9.89 
Enterprise Value110.8 B116.3 B
The analysis of Netflix's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Netflix's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Netflix Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.218

Technical Drivers

As of the 17th of April 2024, Netflix secures the Downside Deviation of 1.29, risk adjusted performance of 0.1214, and Mean Deviation of 1.38. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Netflix, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to break down and interpolate nineteen technical drivers for Netflix, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Netflix information ratio and downside variance to decide if Netflix is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 613.69 per share. Given that Netflix has jensen alpha of 0.3105, we recommend you to check Netflix's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Netflix Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twelve with a total number of output elements of fourty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Netflix middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Netflix. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Netflix Outstanding Bonds

Netflix issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Netflix uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Netflix bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Netflix has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Netflix Predictive Daily Indicators

Netflix intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Netflix stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Netflix Corporate Filings

F4
2nd of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
19th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
4th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
28th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
13th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
12th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
9th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F4
7th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Netflix Forecast Models

Netflix's time-series forecasting models are one of many Netflix's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Netflix's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Netflix Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Netflix prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Netflix shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Netflix. By using and applying Netflix Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Netflix entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.18  0.19 
Operating Profit Margin 0.21  0.22 
Net Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Gross Profit Margin 0.42  0.40 

Current Netflix Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Netflix analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Netflix analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
433.98Strong Buy47Odds
Netflix current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Netflix analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Netflix stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Netflix, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Netflix conference calls.
Netflix Analyst Advice Details

Netflix Stock Analysis Indicators

Netflix stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Netflix stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Netflix shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Netflix stock analysis, traders can identify Netflix position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow5.2 B
Total Stockholder Equity20.6 B
Property Plant And Equipment Net1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments7.1 B
Cash7.1 B
50 Day M A602.1792
Net Interest Income-748.6 M
Total Current Liabilities8.9 B
Forward Price Earnings36.1011
Investments541.8 M
Interest Expense699.8 M
Stock Based Compensation339.4 M
Long Term Debt14.1 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding449.5 M
Tax Provision797.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y16.252
Other Current Assets529.3 M
Accounts Payable747.4 M
Net Debt7.4 B
Other Operating Expenses26.8 B
Non Current Assets Total38.8 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity48.7 B
Non Currrent Assets Other3.7 B
When determining whether Netflix offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Netflix's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Netflix Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Netflix Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Netflix. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.
For more information on how to buy Netflix Stock please use our How to Invest in Netflix guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for Netflix Stock analysis

When running Netflix's price analysis, check to measure Netflix's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Netflix is operating at the current time. Most of Netflix's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Netflix's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Netflix's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Netflix to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Netflix's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Netflix. If investors know Netflix will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Netflix listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
16.252
Earnings Share
12.03
Revenue Per Share
76.371
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.125
Return On Assets
0.0893
The market value of Netflix is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Netflix that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Netflix's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Netflix's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Netflix's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Netflix's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Netflix's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Netflix is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Netflix's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.