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NIO Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

<div class='circular--portrait' style='background:#0D8ECF;color: white;font-size:3em;padding-top: 40px;;'>NIO</div>
NIO -- USA Stock  

Trending

NIO Book Value per Share is quite stable at the moment as compared to the last year. The company current value of Book Value per Share is estimated at about 25.54. Debt to Equity Ratio is projected to rize to 314.10 this year, although the value of Current Ratio will most likelly fall to 1.49. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NIO which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using NIO hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of NIO from the prospective of NIO response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on NIO over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see NIO Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

NIO After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

NIO Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
4.26
February 21, 2020
3.83
After-hype Price
31.64
Upside
NIO is abnormally volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NIO is based on 3 months time horizon.

NIO Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.59  9.27  0.03   0.02  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.263.830.79 
46,350  

NIO Hype Timeline

On the 21th of February NIO is traded for 4.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. NIO is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 3.83. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 46350.0%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.79% where as daily expected return is now at 1.59%. The volatility of related hype on NIO is about 71307.69% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.28. The company reported last year revenue of 230.37 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (3.43 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (255.88 M). Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Additionally see NIO Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

NIO Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Ford Motor Company 0.03 7 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.82 (1.82)  11.78 
General Motors Company(0.07) 9 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.13 (2.04)  5.59 
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N V 0.06 11 per month 0.00 (0.22)  2.58 (2.37)  10.27 
Honda Motor Company Ltd(0.08) 8 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.19 (1.78)  4.56 
NIO 0.02 10 per month 5.56  0.16  11.08 (11.71)  67.67 
Niu Technologies 0.02 8 per month 2.79  0.0116  4.54 (6.81)  19.82 
Kandi Technologies Group 0.21 7 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.06 (2.87)  11.16 
DAIMLER AG 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.14)  3.55 (4.32)  11.91 
Blue Bird Corporation(0.07) 10 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.01 (4.06)  13.27 
IShares Edge MSCI Multifactor U 0.00 0 per month 0.46 (0.13)  0.89 (1.16)  3.35 
Additionally see NIO Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
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