National Storage Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

NSA -- USA Stock  

USD 29.70  0.14  0.47%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring National Storage headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National Storage Affiliates Trust brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With National Storage hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of National Storage Affiliates Trust from the prospective of National Storage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on National Storage over a specific investment horizon. Please see also National Storage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

National Storage After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

National Storage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 18, 2018
29.70
Current Value
29.69
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
34.73
Upside
National Storage is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Storage Aff is based on 1 month time horizon.

National Storage Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.02% 1.68% 0.01%  0.00% 5 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
29.7029.690.03%
560.00% 

National Storage Hype Timeline

On 18 of July National Storage Affiliates Trust is traded for 29.70. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. National Storage Affiliates Trust is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 29.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 560.0%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03% where as daily expected return is now at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on National Storage is about 84000.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 29.7. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of National Storage Affiliates Trust was now reported as 13.03. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.99. National Storage Affiliates Trust last dividend was issued on 2018-06-14. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Please see also National Storage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

National Storage Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
First Industrial Realty Trust 0.20 4 per month 0.00 (0.36)  0.66 (1.10)  3.88 
DCT Industrial Trust(0.89) 3 per month 0.00 (0.25)  0.92 (1.54)  3.70 
Duke Realty Corporation(0.02) 4 per month 0.00 (0.22)  1.18 (1.09)  3.32 
EastGroup Properties 1.38 3 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.04 (1.33)  3.15 
Extra Space Storage(0.01) 6 per month 0.00 (0.27)  1.40 (1.88)  3.62 
Gramercy Property Trust 0.01 4 per month 0.00 (0.82)  0.18 (0.33)  1.12 
Life Storage(0.38) 4 per month 0.97 (0.09)  1.47 (1.83)  4.51 
Monmouth Real Estate Investment Corporation(0.09) 4 per month 0.44  0.18  1.70 (0.93)  4.46 
National Storage Affiliates Trust(0.30) 5 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.99 (3.43)  6.97 
Prologis 0.08 7 per month 0.00 (0.23)  1.15 (1.78)  3.92 

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Please see also National Storage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.