National Storage Price Prediction

National Storage Affiliates Trust -- USA Stock  

USD 24.9  0.05  0.2%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring National Storage headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National Storage Affiliates Trust brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With National Storage hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of National Storage Affiliates Trust from the prospective of National Storage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on National Storage over a specific investment horizon. Please see also National Storage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

National Storage estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 22, 2017
24.9
Current Value
Downside upside
24.93
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
26.61
Upside
Upside upside
National Storage is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Storage Aff is based on 1 month time horizon.

National Storage Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.17% 0.56% 0.03%  0.04% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.924.930.12%
329.41% 

National Storage Hype Timeline

On 22 of October National Storage Affiliates Trust is traded for  24.9 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. National Storage Affiliates Trust is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 24.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 329.41%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.12% where as daily expected return is now at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on National Storage is about 231.72% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 24.86. The company reported last year revenue of 234.98 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 11.29 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 134.25 M. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Please see also National Storage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

National Storage Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Realty Income Corporation(0.76) 1 per month 0.00 (0.55)  0.00  0.71 (1.4)  2.47 
Diamond Hill Investment Group Inc(1.09) 1 per month 0.32  0.0058 (0.77)  1.66 (0.81)  3.33 
AllianceBernstein Holding L P(0.05) 1 per month 0.00  0.0833 (0.96)  1.66 (0.79)  3.12 
Associated Capital Group Inc 0.3 1 per month 0.00  0.16  0.00  2.66 (1.58)  5.65 
Arlington Asset Investment Corp 0.03 1 per month 0.00 (0.44)  0.00  0.39 (0.94)  4.08 
The Blackstone Group L P 0.12 1 per month 0.21  0.0592 (0.83)  1.41 (0.91)  2.52