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Benchmark SP 500  1,650   0.91  Index Moved Down -0.06% ...


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Nuveen risk analysis

 
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Nuveen Municipal Value

Stock@New York Stock Exchange 
United States USD
     
Use Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Considering 30-days investment horizon, Nuveen has beta of 0.08 indicating as returns on market go up, Nuveen avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc has alpha of 0.08 implying that it can potentially generate 0.08% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Nuveen   
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of Nuveen is -1024.3. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.21 and standard deviation of 0.46. The mean deviation of Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc is currently at 0.39. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.58
alpha for Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc(alpha)= 0.08 
beta for Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc(beta) = 0.08 
volatility for Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc(volatility) = 0.46 

Actual Return Volatility

Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc has volatility of 0.46% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.58% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
May 16 2013
 10.29 
  
 10.26 
(0.03)  Macroaxis: -0.291545189504367 Down   0.29%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 10 2013
 10.45 
  
 10.46 
0.01  Macroaxis: 0.09569377990432118 Up   0.10%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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S&P 500 has a standard deviation of returns of 0.58 and is 1.26 times more volatile than Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc. 6% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Nuveen. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc is lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Nuveen Municipal Value Fund Inc to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend and little activity. As returns on market increase, Nuveen returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Nuveen will be expected to be smaller as well.

Nuveen correlation with market

Average diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Nuveen Municipal Value Fund In and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Nuveen Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.06)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.68)
Mean Deviation0.3929
Semi-Deviation0.5454
Downside Deviation0.4979
Coefficient Of Variation(1,024)
Standard Deviation0.4612

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