Navigator Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| NVGS Stock | USD 14.91 0.10 0.67% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Navigator Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Navigator Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Navigator Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Navigator Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Navigator Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Navigator Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Navigator Holdings' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.854 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.31 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.65 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.92 | Wall Street Target Price 19.25 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Navigator Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Navigator stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Navigator Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Navigator Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Navigator Holdings from the perspective of Navigator Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Navigator Holdings using Navigator Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Navigator using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Navigator Holdings' stock price.
Navigator Holdings Implied Volatility | 27.26 |
Navigator Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Navigator Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Navigator Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Navigator Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Navigator Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Navigator Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Navigator Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Navigator because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Navigator Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 14.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Navigator |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Navigator Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Navigator Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Navigator Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Navigator Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Navigator Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Navigator Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Navigator Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Navigator Holdings' historical news coverage. Navigator Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.75 and 15.97, respectively. We have considered Navigator Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Navigator Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Navigator Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Navigator Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Navigator Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Navigator Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Navigator Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.12 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.91 | 14.86 | 0.34 |
|
Navigator Holdings Hype Timeline
Navigator Holdings is now traded for 14.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Navigator is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Navigator Holdings is about 607.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.89. About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Navigator Holdings last dividend was issued on the 3rd of April 2024. The entity had 3:1 split on the 19th of November 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Navigator Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Navigator Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Navigator Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Navigator Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Navigator Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Navigator Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OKE | ONEOK Inc | (0.23) | 10 per month | 0.51 | 0.15 | 2.08 | (1.07) | 4.34 | |
| EPD | Enterprise Products Partners | (0.24) | 10 per month | 0.54 | 0.07 | 1.12 | (0.98) | 3.15 | |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | (0.12) | 10 per month | 0.52 | 0.17 | 1.97 | (1.23) | 3.98 | |
| KMI | Kinder Morgan | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.68 | 0.06 | 2.41 | (1.56) | 4.43 | |
| WES | Western Midstream Partners | (0.47) | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.17 | 2.63 | (2.04) | 13.68 | |
| HESM | Hess Midstream Partners | 0.24 | 9 per month | 0.90 | 0.08 | 1.60 | (1.41) | 5.81 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.64 | 0.12 | 2.26 | (1.23) | 7.96 |
Navigator Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Navigator price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Navigator using various technical indicators. When you analyze Navigator charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Navigator Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Navigator Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Navigator Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Navigator Holdings based on analysis of Navigator Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Navigator Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Navigator Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006122 | 0.005816 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.96 | 1.86 |
Story Coverage note for Navigator Holdings
The number of cover stories for Navigator Holdings depends on current market conditions and Navigator Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Navigator Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Navigator Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Navigator Holdings Short Properties
Navigator Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Navigator Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Navigator Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Navigator Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navigator Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 158.2 M |
Check out Navigator Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Navigator Stock please use our How to Invest in Navigator Holdings guide.Note that the Navigator Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Navigator Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Navigator Stock analysis
When running Navigator Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Navigator Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Navigator Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Navigator Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Navigator Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Navigator Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Navigator Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges |
Is Navigator Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Navigator Holdings. If investors know Navigator will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Navigator Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.854 | Dividend Share 0.15 | Earnings Share 1.1 | Revenue Per Share 7.433 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.149 |
The market value of Navigator Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Navigator that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Navigator Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Navigator Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Navigator Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Navigator Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Navigator Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Navigator Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Navigator Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.