News Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

NWSA -- USA Stock  

USD 14.55  0.13  0.90%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with News Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With News hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of News Corporation from the prospective of News response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on News over a specific investment horizon. Please see also News Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

News After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

News Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 16, 2019
14.55
Current Value
14.54
After-hype Price
19.25
Upside
News is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of News is based on 3 months time horizon.

News Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.20% 1.57% 0.01%  0.00% 7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.5514.540.07%
3,925% 

News Hype Timeline

News is now traded for14.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. News Corporation is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 14.54. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 3925.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07% where as daily expected return is now at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on News is about 14272.73% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 14.55. About 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. News has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.96. The entity last dividend was issued on Septembertember 10, 2019. The firm had 2:1 split on November 3, 2004. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Please see also News Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

News Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DHX Media Ltd(0.03) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0325)  6.67 (5.56)  20.39 
Entravision Communications Corp 0.07 7 per month 2.72  0.06  5.35 (4.35)  17.52 
Gray Television(0.22) 9 per month 2.35  0.03  3.66 (4.00)  10.22 
NTN Buzztime(0.02) 9 per month 0.00 (0.13)  5.54 (7.36)  25.43 
Liberty Media Corporation Ser(0.75) 5 per month 1.29  0.09  2.72 (2.36)  7.02 
News Corporation(0.04) 7 per month 1.35  0.06  2.02 (1.69)  9.84 
Nexstar Media Group 1.64 9 per month 2.03  0.06  3.42 (3.11)  12.20 
Central European Media Enterpri 0.01 9 per month 1.36  0.09  3.26 (2.98)  7.02 
Chicken Soup for the Soul Enter(0.39) 7 per month 1.83  0.14  5.14 (3.38)  27.44 
Buckle(0.16) 7 per month 2.99  0.11  4.26 (3.65)  26.05 
Please see also News Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing balance of power indicator and other technical ratios.
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