Realty Income Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

O -- USA Stock  

USD 52.97  0.02  0.0377%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Realty Income headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Realty Income Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Realty Income hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Realty Income Corporation from the prospective of Realty Income response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Realty Income over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Realty Income Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Realty Income After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Realty Income Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 18, 2018
52.97
Current Value
52.98
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
55.77
Upside
Realty Income is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Realty Income is based on 1 month time horizon.

Realty Income Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07% 0.93% 0.01%  0.01% 6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
52.9752.980.02%
1,033% 

Realty Income Hype Timeline

As of June 18, 2018 Realty Income Corporation is listed for 52.97. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Realty Income Corporation is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 52.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1033.33%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is now at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Realty Income is about 444.98% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 52.98. The company reported annual revenue of 1.22 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 301.51 M with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.15 B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 6 days.
Additionally take a look at Realty Income Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Realty Income Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Realty Income Corporation 0.09 6 per month 0.88  0.11  1.26 (0.80)  4.25 
VEREIT 0.03 6 per month 0.00  0.39  1.02 (0.58)  2.69 
Vornado Realty Trust 0.06 5 per month 0.23  0.37  1.51 (0.59)  4.74 
W P Carey(0.05) 5 per month 0.56  0.21  1.26 (1.07)  3.14 
ABM Industries Incorporated 0.28 5 per month 1.85  0.06  1.54 (2.37)  16.81 
Apartment Investment and Management Company 0.38 5 per month 0.92  0.21  1.53 (1.65)  4.65 
American Tower Corporation 0.40 6 per month 1.34  0.07  1.37 (0.97)  4.68 
Alexandria Real Estate Equities 0.15 5 per month 0.64  0.20  1.62 (1.51)  3.41 
AvalonBay Communities 0.81 5 per month 0.45  0.28  1.41 (1.16)  3.96 
Brookdale Senior Living(0.06) 4 per month 0.00  0.56  4.30 (1.56)  5.93 

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Additionally take a look at Realty Income Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.