Realty Income Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

O -- USA Stock  

USD 56.99  1.20  2.15%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Realty Income Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Realty Income hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Realty Income Corporation from the prospective of Realty Income response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Realty Income over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Realty Income Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Realty Income After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Realty Income Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 24, 2018
56.99
Current Value
55.80
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
58.92
Upside
Realty Income is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Realty Income is based on 1 month time horizon.

Realty Income Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.11% 1.06% 0.02%  0.02% 5 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
56.9955.800.02%
588.89% 

Realty Income Hype Timeline

As of September 24, 2018 Realty Income Corporation is listed for 56.99. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Realty Income Corporation is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 55.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 588.89%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is now at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Realty Income is about 642.42% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 56.97. The company reported annual revenue of 1.26 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 328.34 M with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.15 B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 5 days.
Additionally take a look at Realty Income Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Realty Income Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Realty Income Corporation(0.18) 5 per month 0.00 (0.47)  1.20 (1.50)  3.25 
FOREST CITY REALTY TRUST INC 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
American Assets Trust(0.65) 6 per month 0.00 (0.30)  1.27 (2.00)  4.81 
Agree Realty Corporation 0.42 7 per month 0.00 (0.36)  1.24 (2.24)  5.50 
Acadia Realty Trust 0.08 5 per month 1.09 (0.16)  1.31 (1.67)  3.66 
Alexanders 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Saul Centers(0.86) 5 per month 0.00 (0.40)  1.36 (3.27)  6.60 
Brixmor Property Group(0.35) 4 per month 0.00 (0.27)  1.14 (2.21)  5.70 
CBL Associates Properties(0.12) 4 per month 0.00 (0.18)  3.61 (2.91)  8.21 
Cedar Realty Trust 0.01 3 per month 0.00 (0.07)  3.92 (3.84)  14.19 

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Additionally take a look at Realty Income Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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