iPath SP Price Prediction

iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN -- USA iPath Goldman Sachs Crude Oil Total Return Index ETN  

USD 7.61  1,859  99.59%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring iPath SP headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iPath SP hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN from the prospective of iPath SP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iPath SP over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at iPath SP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iPath SP After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

iPath SP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

April 24, 2018
7.61
Current Value
10.93
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
2,294
Upside
iPath SP is extremely volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iPath SP GSCI is based on 2 months time horizon.

iPath SP Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 21.62% 155.43% 3.46%  19.09% 1 Events / Month2 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.6110.8943.09%
97,144% 

iPath SP Hype Timeline

On 24 of April iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN is traded for 7.61. This company has historical hype elasticity of 3.46 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 19.09. iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 10.8893. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 97143.75%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 43.09% where as daily expected return is now at 21.62%. The volatility of related hype on iPath SP is about 17602.49% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 26.7. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Additionally take a look at iPath SP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iPath SP Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Origen Financial 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.005  2.41 (2.35)  12.12 
Impac Mortgage Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.19  0.00  0.00  7.33 
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 8.80 1 per month 0.00 (0.0485)  5.59 (10.06)  21.24 
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation(0.04) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0153)  6.13 (5.77)  11.90 
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation(0.15) 1 per month 0.00 (0.24)  0.00 (2.82)  6.59 
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.0832)  3.23 (5.03)  15.35 
Eagle Energy 0.01 2 per month 5.33  0.0181  11.54 (10.49)  25.95 
SPDR Morgan Stanley Technology ETF 0.21 1 per month 4.88  0.0866  20.19 (12.14)  45.14 
Federal National Mortgage Association 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0236)  4.74 (5.21)  18.99 
Escalera Resources Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14)  0.00  0.00  21.05 

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