iPath SP Price Prediction

iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN -- USA Etf  

USD 5.4  0.01  0.19%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring iPath SP headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iPath SP hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN from the prospective of iPath SP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iPath SP over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at iPath SP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iPath SP estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 23, 2017
5.4
Current Value
Downside upside
5.4
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
10.41
Upside
Upside upside
iPath SP is relatively volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iPath SP GSCI is based on 1 month time horizon.

iPath SP Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07% 1.67% 0.00%  0.06% 1 Events / Month0 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.45.40.00%
16,700% 

iPath SP Hype Timeline

On 23 of October iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN is traded for  5.4 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 16700.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is now at -0.07%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to iPath SP is about 201.61%%. The volatility of related hype on iPath SP is about 201.61% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 5.46. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Additionally take a look at iPath SP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iPath SP Related Hype Analysis