iPath B Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

OILB -- USA Etf  

USD 69.09  0.76  1.11%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring iPath B headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iPath B hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN from the prospective of iPath B response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iPath B over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at iPath B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iPath B After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

iPath B Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 19, 2018
69.09
Current Value
69.34
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
75.43
Upside
iPath B is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iPath B SP is based on 1 month time horizon.

iPath B Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.32% 2.03% 0.25%  0.03% 1 Events / Month0 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
69.0969.340.36%
256.96% 

iPath B Hype Timeline

iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN is now traded for69.09. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.25 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 69.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 256.96%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.36% where as daily expected return is now at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on iPath B is about 2445.78% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 69.12. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Additionally take a look at iPath B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iPath B Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
United States Oil 0.00 0 per month 2.04  0.08  3.63 (3.66)  10.38 
United States Natural Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.42)  1.55 (1.98)  3.65 
PowerShares DB Oil ETF 0.04 1 per month 2.47 (0.0079)  1.84 (3.77)  8.44 
VelocityShares 3x Invrs Crude Oil ETNNew 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14)  10.56 (10.50)  18.53 
PowerShares DB Energy ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07)  1.65 (3.62)  7.33 
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  6.99 (6.11)  11.31 
VelocityShares 3x Lng Crude Oil ETN New 0.00 0 per month 6.12  0.10  10.64 (10.87)  30.72 
United States 12 Month Oil 0.00 0 per month 2.37  0.0135  2.21 (3.57)  8.86 
iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN 0.79 1 per month 1.72  0.07  3.61 (3.26)  9.54 
United States Gasoline 0.00 0 per month 2.03 (0.0431)  2.12 (3.89)  7.35 

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Additionally take a look at iPath B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.