iPath B Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

OILB -- USA Etf  

USD 73.15  0.59  0.82%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iPath B hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN from the prospective of iPath B response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iPath B over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at iPath B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iPath B After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

iPath B Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 21, 2018
73.15
Current Value
73.15
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
76.69
Upside
iPath B is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iPath B SP is based on 1 month time horizon.

iPath B Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18% 1.18% 0.00%  0.18% 0 Events / Month3 Events / MonthUncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
73.1573.150.00%
0.00% 

iPath B Hype Timeline

iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN is now traded for73.15. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.18. iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to iPath B is about 119.07%%. The volatility of related hype on iPath B is about 119.07% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 73.33. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Additionally take a look at iPath B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iPath B Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PowerShares DB Energy ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.52 (0.09)  1.60 (0.85)  3.45 
iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.76 (0.0131)  2.92 (1.13)  5.49 
ELEMENTS Rogers Intl Cmdty Energy TR ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.53 (1.68)  4.19 
Alcoa Corporation 0.64 3 per month 0.00 (0.28)  1.99 (4.02)  7.85 
The Coca Cola Company 0.08 3 per month 0.60 (0.12)  1.48 (0.85)  3.03 
HP(0.08) 4 per month 0.26  0.0495  1.70 (0.80)  3.80 
ATT 0.02 4 per month 0.34  0.0049  1.02 (0.84)  3.04 
General Electric Company 0.31 6 per month 0.00 (0.21)  2.27 (2.33)  5.52 
Caterpillar 2.70 4 per month 0.42  0.23  2.86 (1.97)  4.05 
The Boeing Company 6.24 7 per month 1.10  0.0195  2.14 (2.12)  3.60 

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Additionally take a look at iPath B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 stocks, funds, and etfs against different fundamentals.
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