iPath Series Price Prediction

iPath Series B SP GSCI Crude Oil -- USA Etf  

USD 60.65  1.53  2.59%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring iPath Series headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iPath Series B SP GSCI Crude Oil brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iPath Series hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iPath Series B SP GSCI Crude Oil from the prospective of iPath Series response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iPath Series over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at iPath Series Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iPath Series Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
February 19, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
iPath Series is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iPath Series B is based on 1 month time horizon.

iPath Series Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.13% 1.68% 0.00%  0.09% 2 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

iPath Series Hype Timeline

iPath Series B SP GSCI Crude Oil is now traded for60.65. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.09. iPath Series B SP GSCI Crude Oil is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 4491.98%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is now at -0.13%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to iPath Series is about 232.26%%. The volatility of related hype on iPath Series is about 232.26% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 60.74. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Additionally take a look at iPath Series Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iPath Series Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
ETFS Bloomberg Energy Commodity Longer Dated Strategy K-1 Free 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0293  0.00  3.15 (2.42)  9.86 
Barclays Bank PLC iPath Series B Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex Total Return ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.26  0.00  7.11 (3.01)  15.53 
VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN 4.34 1 per month 13.55  0.19 (20.10)  49.39 (21.77)  105.80 
United Technologies Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0202)  0.00  2.02 (3.40)  7.00 
ATT Inc 0.00 0 per month 2.43  0.0761 (1.06)  1.77 (3.68)  8.35 
Wal Mart Stores Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.98  0.10 (1.01)  1.68 (2.75)  5.88