iPath B Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

OILB -- USA Etf  

USD 65.41  0.68  1.05%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring iPath B headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iPath B hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN from the prospective of iPath B response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iPath B over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at iPath B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iPath B After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

iPath B Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 20, 2018
65.41
Current Value
65.41
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
70.42
Upside
iPath B is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iPath B SP is based on 1 month time horizon.

iPath B Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.43% 1.67% 0.00%  0.00% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthUncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
65.4165.410.00%
0.00% 

iPath B Hype Timeline

iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN is now traded for65.41. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is now at -0.43%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to iPath B is about 0.0%%. The volatility of related hype on iPath B is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 65.41. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Additionally take a look at iPath B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iPath B Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
United States Oil 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25)  1.84 (3.48)  5.93 
PowerShares DB Oil ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23)  1.74 (3.37)  5.39 
United States Natural Gas 0.00 0 per month 1.22  0.07  2.23 (2.09)  4.67 
iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23)  1.98 (3.36)  6.22 
Vanguard Growth ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.30  1.13 (0.55)  1.63 
iShares Edge MSCI USA Momentum Fctr ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Schwab US Large Cap Growth ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.14  0.28  1.13 (0.54)  1.62 
Vanguard SP 500 ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.36  0.16  1.05 (0.65)  1.97 
VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX ST ETN 0.00 0 per month 2.50  0.21  22.20 (8.18)  888.21 
Amplify YieldShares CWP DivOpt Inc ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Investors are also interested in
Purchased over 100 shares
Active six days ago
Additionally take a look at iPath B Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.