ProShares UltraPro Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

OILD -- USA Etf  

USD 22.71  0.13  0.57%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring ProShares UltraPro headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares UltraPro 3x Shrt Crude Oil ETF brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ProShares UltraPro hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ProShares UltraPro 3x Shrt Crude Oil ETF from the prospective of ProShares UltraPro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ProShares UltraPro over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at ProShares UltraPro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ProShares UltraPro After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

ProShares UltraPro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 20, 2018
22.71
Current Value
22.21
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
40.21
Upside
ProShares UltraPro is relatively volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares UltraPro 3x is based on 1 month time horizon.

ProShares UltraPro Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.67% 6.00% 0.50%  0.06% 1 Events / Month0 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.7122.212.20%
810.81% 

ProShares UltraPro Hype Timeline

ProShares UltraPro 3x Shrt Crude Oil ETF is now traded for22.71. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.5 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. ProShares UltraPro 3x Shrt Crude Oil ETF is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 22.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 810.81%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.2% where as daily expected return is now at -0.67%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares UltraPro is about 7228.92% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 22.77. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Additionally take a look at ProShares UltraPro Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares UltraPro Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
United States Oil 0.00 0 per month 1.90  0.08  3.63 (3.66)  10.38 
United States Natural Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.42)  1.42 (1.98)  3.60 
PowerShares DB Oil ETF 0.04 1 per month 2.44  0.0036  1.84 (3.77)  8.44 
VelocityShares 3x Invrs Crude Oil ETNNew 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16)  10.56 (10.50)  18.14 
PowerShares DB Energy ETF 0.00 0 per month 2.14 (0.05)  1.65 (3.62)  7.33 
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15)  6.99 (6.11)  11.70 
VelocityShares 3x Lng Crude Oil ETN New 0.00 0 per month 5.75  0.11  10.64 (10.87)  30.72