Oracle Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

ORCL -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: November 30, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oracle Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Oracle hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Oracle Corporation from the prospective of Oracle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Oracle over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Oracle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Oracle After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Oracle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 19, 2019
54.55
Current Value
54.56
After-hype Price
59.18
Upside
Oracle is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oracle is based on 3 months time horizon.

Oracle Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07  1.53% 0.01   0.04  9 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
54.5554.560.02 
1,275

Oracle Hype Timeline

Oracle is now traded for54.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Oracle Corporation is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 54.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1275.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is now at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Oracle is about 267.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 54.59. The company reported previous year revenue of 39.53 B. Net Income was 10.95 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 31.51 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Additionally take a look at Oracle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Oracle Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BlackLine 0.43 6 per month 2.66  0.0055  2.84 (4.62)  39.48 
EVO Payments(0.48) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0258)  1.53 (1.07)  6.22 
Evertec(0.40) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0118)  2.42 (3.37)  18.64 
F5 Networks(0.08) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0257)  2.66 (3.19)  8.10 
Fair Isaac Corproation 3.59 8 per month 0.00 (0.07)  3.08 (5.45)  11.55 
Five9 1.12 10 per month 2.58  0.07  4.06 (4.46)  23.27 
Black Knight 0.41 10 per month 0.00  0.0092  1.63 (1.80)  4.60 
Box 0.39 9 per month 0.00 (0.0228)  2.82 (3.84)  18.65 
Dropbox 0.46 5 per month 0.00  0.17  2.35 (1.48)  6.64 
Amdocs Limited 0.28 11 per month 0.90  0.09  1.11 (1.39)  4.88 
Additionally take a look at Oracle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
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