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Pepsico risk analysis

 
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Pepsico Inc

Stock@New York Stock Exchange 
United States USD
      
Macroaxis considers Pepsico relatively not risky. Pepsico Inc maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e. Efficiency) of -0.13 which implies Pepsico Inc had -0.13% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Macroaxis philosophy towards forecasting risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Pepsico Inc exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check Pepsico Inc Coefficient Of Variation of (774), Semi-Deviation of 1.1 and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12) to confirm risk estimate we provide.
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Investment horizon: 
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Projected Return Density against Market

Considering 30-days investment horizon, Pepsico has beta of 0.51 . This implies as returns on market go up, Pepsico avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Pepsico Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, Pepsico Inc has alpha of 0.51 implying that it can potentially generate 0.51% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
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Returns   
S&P 500   Pepsico   
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of Pepsico is -773.78. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.58 and standard deviation of 0.76. The mean deviation of Pepsico Inc is currently at 0.58. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.89
alpha for Pepsico Inc(alpha)= 0.51 
beta for Pepsico Inc(beta) = 0.51 
volatility for Pepsico Inc(volatility) = 0.76 

Actual Return Volatility

Pepsico Inc has volatility of 0.76% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.89% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
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May 31 2013
 81.02 
  
 80.77 
(0.25)  Macroaxis: -0.3085657862256233 Down   0.31%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 22 2013
 82.59 
  
 82.97 
0.38  Macroaxis: 0.4601041288291505 Up   0.46%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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S&P 500 has a standard deviation of returns of 0.89 and is 1.17 times more volatile than Pepsico Inc. 9% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Pepsico. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Pepsico Inc is lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Pepsico Inc to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. As returns on market increase, Pepsico returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Pepsico will be expected to be smaller as well.

Pepsico correlation with market

Very weak diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Pepsico Inc. and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Pepsico Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.12)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.20)
Mean Deviation0.5788
Semi-Deviation1.1
Downside Deviation1.05
Coefficient Of Variation(774)
Standard Deviation0.7622

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