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Procter risk analysis

 
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Procter Gamble

Stock@New York Stock Exchange 
United States USD
     
Use Procter Gamble Co risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Allowing for 30-days total investment horizon, Procter has beta of 0.49 . This implies as returns on market go up, Procter avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Procter Gamble Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, Procter Gamble Co has alpha of 0.49 implying that it can potentially generate 0.49% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Procter   
Allowing for 30-days total investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of Procter is 763.36. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.52 and standard deviation of 0.72. The mean deviation of Procter Gamble Co is currently at 0.6. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.57
alpha for Procter   Gamble Co(alpha)= 0.49 
beta for Procter   Gamble Co(beta) = 0.49 
volatility for Procter   Gamble Co(volatility) = 0.72 

Actual Return Volatility

Procter Gamble Co accepts 0.72% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.57% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
April 25 2013
 77.67 
  
 76.58 
(1.09)  Macroaxis: -1.4033732457834471 Down   1.40%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 15 2013
 79.47 
  
 80.68 
1.21  Macroaxis: 1.522587139801193 Up   1.52%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Procter Gamble Co has a volatility of 0.72 and is 1.26 times more volatile than S&P 500. 9% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Procter. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Procter Gamble Co is lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Procter Gamble Co to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . As returns on market increase, Procter returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Procter will be expected to be smaller as well.

Procter correlation with market

Weak diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Procter & Gamble Co. and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Procter Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.0773
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.1829
Mean Deviation0.5959
Semi-Deviation0.5299
Downside Deviation0.6851
Coefficient Of Variation763.36
Standard Deviation0.7231

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