Sprott Physical Price Prediction

Sprott Physical Gold Trust -- USA Etf  

USD 10.71  0.04  0.37%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Sprott Physical headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sprott Physical Gold Trust brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Sprott Physical hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Sprott Physical Gold Trust from the prospective of Sprott Physical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sprott Physical over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Sprott Physical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Sprott Physical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
March 19, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
Sprott Physical is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprott Physical Gold is based on 1 month time horizon.

Sprott Physical Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.05% 0.47% 0.00%  0.02% 0 Events / Month2 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Sprott Physical Hype Timeline

Sprott Physical Gold Trust is at this time traded for10.71. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Sprott Physical Gold Trust is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Sprott Physical is about 138.92%%. The volatility of related hype on Sprott Physical is about 138.92% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.73. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.11. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sprott Physical Gold Trust recorded loss per share of 1.04. This company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be within a week.
Additionally take a look at Sprott Physical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sprott Physical Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
Realty Income Corporation(0.55) 1 per month 1.22  0.19 (0.89)  1.83 (2.04)  4.31 
Diamond Hill Investment Group Inc 2.97 2 per month 0.92  0.14 (1.50)  2.24 (1.40)  6.47 
AllianceBernstein Holding L P(0.05) 1 per month 0.00 (0.0229)  0.00  1.46 (2.04)  4.34 
Associated Capital Group Inc(0.30) 1 per month 2.20  0.24 (1.68)  2.60 (3.63)  8.81 
Arlington Asset Investment Corp(0.1) 1 per month 1.59  0.17 (1.06)  1.68 (1.86)  4.67 
The Blackstone Group L P 0.06 2 per month 0.00 (0.13)  0.00  1.09 (1.21)  2.83