Sprott Physical Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

PHYS -- USA Etf  

USD 9.76  0.01  0.10%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Sprott Physical headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sprott Physical Gold Trust brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Sprott Physical hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Sprott Physical Gold Trust from the prospective of Sprott Physical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sprott Physical over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Sprott Physical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Sprott Physical After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Sprott Physical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 15, 2018
9.76
Current Value
9.76
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
11.35
Upside
Sprott Physical is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprott Physical Gold is based on 1 month time horizon.

Sprott Physical Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.15% 0.53% 0.00%  0.00% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.769.760.00%
0.00% 

Sprott Physical Hype Timeline

Sprott Physical Gold Trust is at this time traded for9.76. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sprott Physical Gold Trust is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Sprott Physical is about 0.0%%. The volatility of related hype on Sprott Physical is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 9.76. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.11. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sprott Physical Gold Trust recorded loss per share of 1.04. This company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be within a week.
Additionally take a look at Sprott Physical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sprott Physical Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.32  0.0227  0.79 (0.57)  1.57 
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.31  0.0208  0.57 (0.61)  1.34 
SPDR SP Dividend ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.30  0.05  0.83 (0.71)  1.64 
iShares US Preferred Stock ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.40)  0.27 (0.40)  0.99 
First Trust Value Line Dividend ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.25 (0.0044)  0.67 (0.70)  1.69 
First Trust Preferred Sec Inc ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.27)  0.21 (0.21)  0.73 
First Trust Dorsey Wright Focus 5 ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.20 (1.39)  3.01 
iShares Global Infrastructure ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24)  0.53 (1.10)  1.83 
WisdomTree Emerging Markets High Div ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.53 (1.52)  3.80 
PowerShares Variable Rate Preferred ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.18 (0.16)  0.24 (0.28)  0.72 

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Additionally take a look at Sprott Physical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. drill down to analyze hype elasticity.