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Prevedi risk analysis

 
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Prevedi Sicurezza

Stock@Milan Stock Exchange 
Italy EUR
     
Use Prevedi Sicurezza (#IT0003676282IT) risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Prevedi has beta of 0.65 . This implies as returns on market go up, Prevedi avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Prevedi Sicurezza will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, Prevedi Sicurezza has alpha of 0.65 implying that it can potentially generate 0.65% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Prevedi   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Prevedi is 178.16. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 3.78 and standard deviation of 1.94. The mean deviation of Prevedi Sicurezza is currently at 1.64. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.54
alpha for Prevedi Sicurezza(alpha)= 0.65 
beta for Prevedi Sicurezza(beta) = 0.65 
volatility for Prevedi Sicurezza(volatility) = 1.94 

Actual Return Volatility

Prevedi Sicurezza shows 1.94% volatility of returns over 30 trading days. S&P 500 shows 0.54% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
April 22 2013
 0.21 
  
 0.21 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 20 2013
 0.25 
  
 0.26 
0.01  Macroaxis: 4.0000000000000036 Up   4.00%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Prevedi Sicurezza has a volatility of 1.94 and is 1.85 times more volatile than FTSE MIB. 25% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Prevedi. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Prevedi Sicurezza is lower than 25 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Prevedi Sicurezza to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend and little activity. As returns on market increase, Prevedi returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Prevedi will be expected to be smaller as well.

Prevedi correlation with market

Average diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Prevedi Sicurezza and equity matching FTSEMIB index in the same portfolio

Prevedi Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.3111
Market Risk Adjusted Performance1.67
Mean Deviation1.64
Semi-Deviation0.0
Downside Deviation0.0
Coefficient Of Variation178.16
Standard Deviation1.94

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