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Perrigo Company Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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PRGO -- USA Stock  

Last Earning Anouncement Date: December 31, 2015  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Perrigo Company Plc which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Perrigo Company hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of Perrigo Company Plc from the prospective of Perrigo Company response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Perrigo Company over a specific investment horizon. Please check Perrigo Company Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Perrigo Company After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Perrigo Company Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
58.95
February 19, 2020
58.81
After-hype Price
65.02
Upside
Perrigo Company is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perrigo Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

Perrigo Company Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.34  2.07  0.14   0.13  10 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
58.9558.810.24 
492.86  

Perrigo Company Hype Timeline

Perrigo Company is at this time traded for58.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Perrigo Company Plc is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 58.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 492.86%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.24% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Perrigo Company is about 539.06% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 59.08. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.37. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Perrigo Company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.87. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-11-27. The firm had 2:1 split on 1993-08-26. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Please check Perrigo Company Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Perrigo Company Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals 2.48 8 per month 1.40  0.10  2.82 (1.84)  8.58 
Perrigo Company Plc(0.42) 10 per month 0.93  0.11  2.58 (1.91)  15.60 
Origin Agritech Limited 0.06 2 per month 4.05  0.05  4.77 (7.36)  58.70 
PAREXEL International Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SciClone Pharmaceuticals, In 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Sinovac Biotech Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Immune Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorpor(0.53) 9 per month 0.65  0.15  2.42 (1.74)  6.23 
Zoetis 2.12 10 per month 0.60  0.23  1.69 (1.47)  5.83 
Dr Reddys Laboratories Ltd 0.13 5 per month 0.86  0.12  2.88 (1.49)  8.21 

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Please check Perrigo Company Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Stock Screener module to find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
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