Repsol SA (Germany) Price Prediction

REP Stock  EUR 15.21  0.13  0.86%   
The value of RSI of Repsol SA's stock price is about 62 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling a stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Repsol SA stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Repsol SA shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Repsol SA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Repsol SA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Repsol SA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Repsol SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Repsol SA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Repsol stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Repsol SA over a specific investment horizon. Using Repsol SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Repsol SA from the perspective of Repsol SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Repsol SA. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Repsol SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Repsol because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Repsol SA after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 15.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Repsol SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Repsol SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Repsol SA in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4712.6616.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.9515.1416.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.9114.0715.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Repsol SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Repsol SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Repsol SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Repsol SA.

Repsol SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Repsol SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Repsol SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Repsol SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Repsol SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Repsol SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Repsol SA's historical news coverage. Repsol SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.88 and 16.26, respectively. We have considered Repsol SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.21
15.07
After-hype Price
16.26
Upside
Repsol SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Repsol SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Repsol SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Repsol SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Repsol SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Repsol SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
1.19
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.21
15.07
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Repsol SA Hype Timeline

Repsol SA is at this time traded for 15.21on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Repsol projected not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis projected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Repsol SA is about 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on Repsol SA is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 15.21. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Repsol SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 1970. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of December 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week.
Check out Repsol SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Repsol SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Repsol SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Repsol SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Repsol SA rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Repsol SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Repsol SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Repsol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Repsol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Repsol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Repsol SA Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Repsol SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Repsol SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Repsol SA based on analysis of Repsol SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Repsol SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Repsol SA's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Repsol SA

The number of cover stories for Repsol SA depends on current market conditions and Repsol SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Repsol SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Repsol SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Repsol SA Short Properties

Repsol SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Repsol SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Repsol SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Repsol SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Repsol SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Dividends PaidB
Short Long Term Debt2.7 B
Check out Repsol SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Repsol Stock analysis

When running Repsol SA's price analysis, check to measure Repsol SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Repsol SA is operating at the current time. Most of Repsol SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Repsol SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Repsol SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Repsol SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Repsol SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Repsol SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Repsol SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.