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RHG Limited risk analysis

 
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RHG Limited

Stock@Australian Securities Exchange 
Australia AUD
     
Use RHG Limited (#AU000000RHG9AU) risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 1.64 . This implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, RHG Limited will likely underperform. In addition to that, RHG Limited has alpha of 1.64 implying that it can potentially generate 1.64% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   RHG Limited   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of RHG Limited is -459.86. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 6.18 and standard deviation of 2.49. The mean deviation of RHG Limited is currently at 1.88. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.53
alpha for RHG Limited(alpha)= 1.64 
beta for RHG Limited(beta) = 1.64 
volatility for RHG Limited(volatility) = 2.49 

Actual Return Volatility

RHG Limited assumes 2.49% volatility of returns over the 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.53% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
May 10 2013
 0.38 
  
 0.37 
(0.01)  Macroaxis: -2.6315789473684235 Down   2.63%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
April 24 2013
 0.40 
  
 0.41 
0.0100  Macroaxis: 2.4999999999999885 Up   2.50%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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RHG Limited has a volatility of 2.49 and is 3.95 times more volatile than All Ords. 32% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than RHG Limited. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of RHG Limited is lower than 32 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use RHG Limited to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences normal downward trend, but the immediate impact on correlations cannot be determined at the moment . As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, RHG Limited will likely underperform.

RHG Limited correlation with market

Modest diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding RHG Limited and equity matching AORD index in the same portfolio

RHG Limited Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.11)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.33)
Mean Deviation1.88
Semi-Deviation4.48
Downside Deviation4.39
Coefficient Of Variation(459.86)
Standard Deviation2.49

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