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Rio Novo risk analysis

 
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Rio Novo Gold

Stock@Toronto Stock Exchange 
Canada CAD
     
Use Rio Novo Gold Inc (#B652FL8CA) risk analysis together with your other stock asset holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations as well as to check it against diversification policy that fits your risk preferences.  Optimize Portfolio
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 4.19 . This implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Rio Novo will likely underperform. In addition to that, Rio Novo Gold Inc has alpha of 4.19 implying that it can potentially generate 4.19% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Rio Novo   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Rio Novo is -501.67. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 64.25 and standard deviation of 8.02. The mean deviation of Rio Novo Gold Inc is currently at 6.41. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.57
alpha for Rio Novo Gold Inc(alpha)= 4.19 
beta for Rio Novo Gold Inc(beta) = 4.19 
volatility for Rio Novo Gold Inc(volatility) = 8.01 

Actual Return Volatility

Rio Novo Gold Inc shows 8.01% volatility of returns over 30 trading days. S&P 500 shows 0.57% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
May 10 2013
 0.11 
  
 0.10 
(0.0100)  Macroaxis: -9.090909090909086 Down   9.09%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
April 24 2013
 0.15 
  
 0.15 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Rio Novo Gold Inc has a volatility of 8.01 and is 12.14 times more volatile than Canada Composite. 96% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Rio Novo. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Rio Novo Gold Inc is higher than 96 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Rio Novo Gold Inc to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences little momentum. The pattern is not really predictable. Watch out for false signals. As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Rio Novo will likely underperform.

Rio Novo correlation with market

Significant diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Rio Novo Gold Inc. and equity matching GSPTSE index in the same portfolio

Rio Novo Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.11)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.37)
Mean Deviation6.41
Semi-Deviation11.44
Downside Deviation11.36
Coefficient Of Variation(502)
Standard Deviation8.02

Suggested Divercification Pairs

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