ProShares UltraShort Price Prediction

ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil -- USA Etf  

USD 27.3  0.12  0.44%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring ProShares UltraShort headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ProShares UltraShort hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil from the prospective of ProShares UltraShort response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ProShares UltraShort over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ProShares UltraShort Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
December 17, 2017
27.3
Current Value
Downside upside
27.39
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
35.07
Upside
Upside upside
ProShares UltraShort is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares UltraShort is based on 1 month time horizon.

ProShares UltraShort Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.1% 2.56% 0.09%  0.02% 1 Events / Month0 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.327.390.33%
290.91% 

ProShares UltraShort Hype Timeline

On 17 of December ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil is traded for  27.3 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 27.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 290.91%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.33% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares UltraShort is about 1567.35% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 27.32. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares UltraShort Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil 0.88 1 per month 0.00 (0.21)  0.00  3.32 (3.54)  8.6 
VelocityShares 3x Inverse Crude Oil ETNs linked to the SP GSCI Crude Oil Index ER 0.03 1 per month 0.00 (0.19)  0.00  5.04 (5.26)  12.97 
DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25)  0.00  2.5 (3.19)  7.32 
ProShares UltraShort Gold 0.26 1 per month 1 (0.0752) (1.25)  2.52 (1.92)  4.55 
DB Gold Double Short ETN 0.00 0 per month 1 (0.0649) (1.16)  2.76 (1.88)  4.65 
ProShares UltraShort Silver(0.19) 1 per month 1.67  0.12 (2.06)  3.3 (2.4)  8.19