ProShares UltraShort Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

SCO -- USA Etf  

USD 16.80  0.13  0.78%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring ProShares UltraShort headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ProShares UltraShort hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil from the prospective of ProShares UltraShort response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ProShares UltraShort over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ProShares UltraShort After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

ProShares UltraShort Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 21, 2018
16.80
Current Value
16.80
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
28.92
Upside
ProShares UltraShort is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares UltraShort is based on 1 month time horizon.

ProShares UltraShort Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.48% 4.04% 0.00%  0.04% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.8016.800.00%
0.00% 

ProShares UltraShort Hype Timeline

On 21 of July ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil is traded for 16.80. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.48%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to ProShares UltraShort is about 4867.47%%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares UltraShort is about 4867.47% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.84. The company recorded loss per share of 2.57. ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares UltraShort Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
United States Oil 0.00 0 per month 1.90  0.08  3.63 (3.66)  10.38 
United States Natural Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.42)  1.42 (1.98)  3.60 
PowerShares DB Oil ETF 0.04 1 per month 2.44  0.0036  1.84 (3.77)  8.44 
VelocityShares 3x Invrs Crude Oil ETNNew 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16)  10.56 (10.50)  18.14 
PowerShares DB Energy ETF 0.00 0 per month 2.14 (0.05)  1.65 (3.62)  7.33 
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15)  6.99 (6.11)  11.70 
VelocityShares 3x Lng Crude Oil ETN New 0.00 0 per month 5.75  0.11  10.64 (10.87)  30.72 
United States 12 Month Oil 0.00 0 per month 2.35  0.0259  2.21 (3.57)  8.86 
iPath B SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN 0.79 1 per month 1.67  0.08  3.61 (3.26)  9.54 
United States Gasoline 0.00 0 per month 2.21  0.0051  2.12 (3.89)  7.35 

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