ProShares UltraShort Price Prediction

ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil -- USA Etf  

USD 22.59  0.78  3.58%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring ProShares UltraShort headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ProShares UltraShort hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil from the prospective of ProShares UltraShort response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ProShares UltraShort over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ProShares UltraShort Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
March 18, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
ProShares UltraShort is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares UltraShort is based on 1 month time horizon.

ProShares UltraShort Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.21% 2.85% 0.11%  0.02% 2 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

ProShares UltraShort Hype Timeline

On 18 of March ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil is traded for 22.59. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 22.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 537.74%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.49% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares UltraShort is about 3000.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 22.57. The company recorded loss per share of 2.57. ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares UltraShort Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
United States Oil(0.17) 1 per month 1.19  0.16 (1.12)  2.44 (1.75)  4.65 
iPath SP GSCI Crude Oil TR ETN 0.16 1 per month 1.56  0.15 (1.52)  3.27 (2.36)  6.27 
PowerShares DB Oil ETF(0.03) 1 per month 0.91  0.26 (0.85)  1.69 (1.41)  4.47 
United States Natural Gas 0.00 0 per month 0.98  0.16 (1.00)  2.07 (1.81)  4.10 
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil(0.53) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0901)  0.00  3.42 (4.72)  10.12 
VelocityShares 3x Invrs Crude Oil ETNNew 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0853)  0.00  5.14 (7.37)  14.95