iShares MSCI Price Prediction

iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap ETF -- USA Etf  

USD 66.74  0.14  0.21%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring iShares MSCI headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap ETF brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With iShares MSCI hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap ETF from the prospective of iShares MSCI response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on iShares MSCI over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at iShares MSCI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

iShares MSCI After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

iShares MSCI Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

April 20, 2018
66.74
Current Value
66.75
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
68.94
Upside
iShares MSCI is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iShares MSCI EAFE is based on 2 months time horizon.

iShares MSCI Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04% 0.73% 0.01%  0.02% 1 Events / Month2 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
66.7466.750.01%
304.17% 

iShares MSCI Hype Timeline

On 20 of April iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap ETF is traded for 66.74. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. iShares MSCI EAFE Small Cap ETF is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 66.75. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 304.17%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.01% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on iShares MSCI is about 140.93% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 66.72. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at iShares MSCI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

iShares MSCI Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SPDR SP 500 ETF(2.26) 1 per month 0.00  0.0054  1.59 (2.16)  4.96 
iShares Core SP 500 ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.0047  1.63 (2.21)  5.08 
iShares Core SP Mid Cap ETF 0.85 1 per month 1.25  0.0514  1.60 (2.00)  4.57 
iShares Russell 2000 ETF(1.18) 1 per month 1.27  0.0802  1.60 (2.15)  4.62 
iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF 1.77 1 per month 0.00  0.0176  1.72 (2.31)  5.37 
iShares Core SP Small Cap ETF(0.77) 1 per month 1.22  0.0973  1.64 (2.16)  4.54 
iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF(2.00) 1 per month 0.00 (0.0023)  1.58 (2.08)  4.59 
Vanguard Value ETF 1.15 1 per month 0.00 (0.0033)  1.56 (2.14)  4.96 
Vanguard Growth ETF 0.32 1 per month 0.00  0.0143  1.77 (2.39)  5.18 
Vanguard Mid Cap ETF(3.06) 1 per month 0.00  0.0278  1.55 (2.15)  4.62 

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Also please take a look at iShares MSCI Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.