ProShares UltraShort Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

SDD -- USA Etf  

USD 11.69  0.27  2.36%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares UltraShort SmallCap600 which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ProShares UltraShort hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ProShares UltraShort SmallCap600 from the prospective of ProShares UltraShort response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ProShares UltraShort over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ProShares UltraShort After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

ProShares UltraShort Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 24, 2018
11.69
Current Value
11.69
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
13.79
Upside
ProShares UltraShort is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares UltraShort is based on 1 month time horizon.

ProShares UltraShort Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.23% 0.70% 0.00%  0.00% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.6911.690.00%
0.00% 

ProShares UltraShort Hype Timeline

On 24 of September ProShares UltraShort SmallCap600 is traded for 11.69. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ProShares UltraShort SmallCap600 is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to ProShares UltraShort is about 0.0%%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares UltraShort is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 11.69. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares UltraShort Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ProShares Short SP500 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.64)  0.36 (0.68)  1.35 
ProShares UltraShort SP500 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.26)  1.20 (1.62)  3.69 
Direxion Daily SP 500 Bear 3X ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.37)  1.31 (2.27)  4.03 
ProShares UltraShort QQQ 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.21)  2.70 (2.12)  5.01 
ProShares Short Russell2000 0.00 0 per month 0.25 (0.24)  0.90 (0.43)  2.00 
ProShares Short Dow30 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.69)  0.54 (0.94)  1.48 
Direxion Dly SP OilGs ExPrd Br 3X ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12)  4.27 (4.23)  14.81 
ProShares UltraShort FTSE China 50 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.57 (3.66)  10.43 
ProShares UltraShort Financials 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23)  1.65 (1.72)  3.37 
ProShares UltraShort MSCI Emerging Mkts 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.71 (2.95)  7.79 

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Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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