ProShares UltraShort Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

SDP -- USA Etf  

USD 22.47  0.0037  0.0002%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProShares UltraShort Utilities which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With ProShares UltraShort hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of ProShares UltraShort Utilities from the prospective of ProShares UltraShort response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ProShares UltraShort over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

ProShares UltraShort After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

ProShares UltraShort Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

January 18, 2019
22.47
Current Value
22.53
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
29.55
Upside
ProShares UltraShort is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ProShares UltraShort is based on 2 months time horizon.

ProShares UltraShort Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.14% 2.34% 0.06%  0.07% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.4722.530.27%
553.58% 

ProShares UltraShort Hype Timeline

On 18 of January ProShares UltraShort is traded for 22.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. ProShares UltraShort Utilities is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 22.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 553.58%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.27% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares UltraShort is about 501.07% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 22.4. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

ProShares UltraShort Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ProShares Short SP500(0.54) 1 per month 1.44  0.06  2.52 (2.27)  8.32 
ProShares UltraShort SP500 0.00 0 per month 2.93  0.0444  4.92 (4.60)  16.49 
ProShares Short QQQ 0.00 0 per month 1.86  0.0337  3.35 (3.16)  11.50 
ProShares UltraPro Short SP500 0.00 0 per month 4.29  0.0496  7.28 (6.87)  26.28 
Direxion Daily SP 500 Bear 3X ETF 0.00 0 per month 4.20  0.06  7.54 (6.89)  26.87 
ProShares Short Russell2000(0.10) 1 per month 1.56  0.06  2.64 (2.51)  9.02 
ProShares UltraShort QQQ(2.17) 1 per month 3.84  0.0221  6.77 (6.34)  22.96 
ProShares Short Dow30 0.00 0 per month 1.40  0.07  2.81 (2.49)  9.60 
ProShares UltraShort Dow30(1.86) 1 per month 2.87  0.0481  5.54 (5.05)  16.28 
ProShares Short MSCI Emerging Markets 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07)  1.95 (2.44)  7.11 

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Also please take a look at ProShares UltraShort Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
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