Sea Stock Price Prediction
| SE Stock | USD 63.27 1.26 2.03% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Sea stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Sea shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Sea's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sea and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sea's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sea, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sea's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.46) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.54 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.42 | Wall Street Target Price 67.07 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.25) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Sea based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Sea stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sea over a specific investment horizon. Using Sea hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sea from the perspective of Sea response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sea using Sea's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sea using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sea's stock price.
Sea Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Sea's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Sea. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Sea stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Sea may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sea and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sea with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 45.8794 | Short Percent 0.0588 | Short Ratio 2.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 22.8 M | 50 Day MA 53.1816 |
Sea Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sea's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sea. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sea can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sea. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sea's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sea.
Sea Implied Volatility | 70.94 |
Sea's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sea stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sea's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sea stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sea's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Sea. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sea to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sea because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Sea after-hype prediction price | USD 62.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sea contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sea will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.43% per day over the life of the 2024-04-26 option contract. With Sea trading at USD 63.27, that is roughly USD 2.81 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sea's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sea options at the current volatility level of 70.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sea |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sea's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sea After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sea at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sea or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sea, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sea Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sea's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sea's historical news coverage. Sea's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 59.97 and 65.61, respectively. We have considered Sea's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sea is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sea is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sea Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sea is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sea backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sea, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.79 | 2.82 | 0.48 | 0.15 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
63.27 | 62.79 | 0.76 |
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Sea Hype Timeline
As of April 24, 2024 Sea is listed for 63.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.48, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Sea is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 62.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.76%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.79%. The volatility of related hype on Sea is about 1467.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 63.42. About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Sea was at this time reported as 11.68. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.59. Sea last dividend was issued on the 1st of March 2017. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Sea Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Sea Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sea's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sea's future price movements. Getting to know how Sea's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sea may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLBE | Global E Online | (0.25) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.55 | (3.72) | 21.75 | |
| ETSY | Etsy Inc | 2.47 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.76 | (4.10) | 17.54 | |
| PDD | Pinduoduo | (2.27) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.83 | (4.65) | 13.07 | |
| JD | JD Inc Adr | (0.16) | 13 per month | 2.58 | 0.09 | 5.80 | (4.43) | 22.08 | |
| BABA | Alibaba Group Holding | (0.89) | 7 per month | 2.11 | (0) | 3.34 | (3.91) | 13.72 | |
| VIPS | Vipshop Holdings Limited | (0.45) | 13 per month | 2.26 | 0.02 | 5.62 | (3.48) | 19.96 | |
| JMIA | Jumia Technologies AG | 0.08 | 10 per month | 4.41 | 0.11 | 11.30 | (7.61) | 53.18 | |
| MELI | MercadoLibre | 3.15 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.30 | (3.63) | 14.99 | |
| AMZN | Amazon Inc | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.11 | 0.08 | 2.71 | (2.15) | 10.43 |
Sea Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Sea Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Sea stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sea, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sea based on analysis of Sea hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sea's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sea's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 28.37 | 28.09 | 21.13 | 29.45 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 7.08 | 5.51 | 6.32 | 8.7 |
Story Coverage note for Sea
The number of cover stories for Sea depends on current market conditions and Sea's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sea is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sea's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sea Short Properties
Sea's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sea's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sea often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sea's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sea's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 594.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.8 B |
Check out Sea Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Sea Stock refer to our How to Trade Sea Stock guide.Note that the Sea information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sea's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Complementary Tools for Sea Stock analysis
When running Sea's price analysis, check to measure Sea's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sea is operating at the current time. Most of Sea's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sea's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sea's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sea to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sea's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sea. If investors know Sea will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sea listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 0.25 | Revenue Per Share 23.056 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.048 | Return On Assets 0.0119 | Return On Equity 0.026 |
The market value of Sea is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sea that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sea's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sea's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sea's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sea's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sea's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sea is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sea's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.