Origin Agritech Stock Performance
| SEED Stock | USD 3.46 0.28 8.81% |
Origin Agritech holds a performance score of 12 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company holds a Beta of 0.3, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Origin Agritech's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Origin Agritech is expected to be smaller as well. Use Origin Agritech downside variance, daily balance of power, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to analyze future returns on Origin Agritech.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
12 of 100
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Origin Agritech are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather conflicting technical and fundamental indicators, Origin Agritech exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 3.66 | Five Day Return 1.8 | Year To Date Return 58.14 | Ten Year Return (84.11) | All Time Return (92.84) |
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Dividend Date 2018-07-10 | Last Split Date 2018-07-10 |
1 | Where Will Origin Agritech Ltd. Stock Go Next After It Has Risen 16.67 percent in a Week - InvestorsObserver | 02/14/2024 |
2 | Should You Sell Origin Agritech Ltd. Stock Tuesday Morning - InvestorsObserver | 03/05/2024 |
3 | New Mexico mens basketball earns No. 11 seed in return to NCAA Tournament | 03/18/2024 |
4 | Origin Agritech reports 50 percent yield boost in gene-edited corn | 03/20/2024 |
5 | Ivy League does it again as No. 13 seed Yale takes down No. 4 seed Auburn 78-76 | 03/22/2024 |
6 | Top 5 Defensive Stocks That May Plunge This Quarter | 03/25/2024 |
7 | This March Madness in womens basketball is producing fewer upsets but closer games | 04/03/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 17.7 M |
Origin |
Origin Agritech Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 172.00 in Origin Agritech on January 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 174.00 from holding Origin Agritech or generate 101.16% return on investment over 90 days. Origin Agritech is currently generating 1.5125% in daily expected returns and assumes 9.7832% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 86% of stocks are less volatile than Origin, and 71% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Origin Agritech Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Origin Agritech's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Origin Agritech, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Origin Agritech's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.1546
| Best Portfolio | Best Equity | |||
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| Average Returns | SEED | |||
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
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Estimated Market Risk
| 9.78 actual daily | 86 86% of assets are less volatile |
Expected Return
| 1.51 actual daily | 29 71% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.15 actual daily | 12 88% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Origin Agritech is performing at about 12% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Origin Agritech by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Origin Agritech Fundamentals Growth
Origin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Origin Agritech, and Origin Agritech fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Origin Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -3.72 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.0427 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.59 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.46) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (27.25 M) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 6.31 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 4.86 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | ||||
| Revenue | 93.31 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 16.19 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 71.54 M | ||||
| Net Income | 62.67 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 6.51 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.13 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 241 K | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 180.20 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.13 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (9.08) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (5.46 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.16 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 20.08 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 238.51 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (601.57 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | (171.68 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 478.1 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 614.5 M | ||||
About Origin Agritech Performance
To evaluate Origin Agritech Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Origin Agritech generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Origin Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Origin Agritech market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Origin's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 71.96 | 68.36 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.04) | (0.04) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.03) | (0.03) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.04) | (0.04) |
Things to note about Origin Agritech performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Origin Agritech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Origin Agritech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Origin Agritech is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Origin Agritech appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Origin Agritech has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company currently holds 241 K in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 180.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Origin Agritech has a current ratio of 0.13, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Origin Agritech until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Origin Agritech's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Origin Agritech sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Origin to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Origin Agritech's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Origin Agritech currently holds about 6.51 M in cash with (5.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.13. | |
| Origin Agritech has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 13.0% of Origin Agritech outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: This March Madness in womens basketball is producing fewer upsets but closer games |
- Analyzing Origin Agritech's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Origin Agritech's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Origin Agritech's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Origin Agritech's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Origin Agritech's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Origin Agritech's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Origin Agritech's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Agritech. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. For information on how to trade Origin Stock refer to our How to Trade Origin Stock guide.Note that the Origin Agritech information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Origin Agritech's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis
When running Origin Agritech's price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Origin Agritech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Agritech. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Agritech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 1.16 | Revenue Per Share 14.254 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.38 | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (3.72) |
The market value of Origin Agritech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Agritech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Agritech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Agritech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Agritech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Agritech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Agritech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.