Origin Agritech Valuation

SEED Stock  USD 3.17  0.09  2.76%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Origin Agritech holds a recent Real Value of $2.58 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $3.17. Our model determines the value of Origin Agritech from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of (0.46) %, return on equity of -3.72, and Shares Outstanding of 6.31 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors support purchasing undervalued entities and exiting overvalued entities since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will merge together. Key fundamental drivers impacting Origin Agritech's valuation include:
Price Book
4.864
Enterprise Value
-27.3 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
0.2594
Price Sales
0.2233
Trailing PE
2.7302
Overvalued
Today
3.17
Please note that Origin Agritech's price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Origin Agritech is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Origin Agritech's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Origin Agritech is useful when determining the fair value of the Origin stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Origin Agritech. Since Origin Agritech is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Origin Stock. However, Origin Agritech's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  3.17 Real  2.58 Hype  3.53 Naive  2.65
The real value of Origin Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Origin Agritech Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Origin Agritech's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Origin Agritech's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Origin Agritech's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
2.58
Real Value
12.39
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Origin Agritech helps investors to forecast how Origin stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Origin Agritech more accurately as focusing exclusively on Origin Agritech's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.123.203.28
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.183.5313.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.052.6512.46
Details
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Origin Agritech's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Origin Agritech's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Origin Agritech's closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for Origin Agritech, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Origin Agritech Investments

(9.6 Million)

Origin Valuation Drivers Correlation

Many accounts on the financial statements of Origin Agritech are highly interrelated and sometimes correlated. Consequently, when conducting Origin's valuation analysis, one should examine all of the accounts reported to obtain a complete picture of its financial situation. We provide a unique feature to present a conventional correlation table purposely composed against different valuation-related drivers of Origin
Click cells to compare fundamentals

Origin Valuation Trend

Knowing Origin Agritech's actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. Origin Agritech's real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of Origin Agritech's financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Origin Agritech's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

Origin Market Cap

Origin Agritech is currently regarded as top stock in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Consumer Staples industry is at this time estimated at about 92.21 Billion. Origin Agritech adds roughly 20 Million in market capitalization claiming only tiny portion of stocks in Consumer Staples industry.
Capitalization  Total debt  Revenue  Valuation  Workforce

Origin Agritech Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Origin Agritech's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Origin Agritech value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Origin Agritech competition to find correlations between indicators driving Origin Agritech's intrinsic value. More Info.
Origin Agritech is currently regarded as top stock in price to book category among related companies. It is currently regarded as top stock in price to sales category among related companies fabricating about  0.05  of Price To Sales per Price To Book. The ratio of Price To Book to Price To Sales for Origin Agritech is roughly  21.78 . At present, Origin Agritech's Price To Sales Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting.Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Origin Agritech by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Origin Agritech's Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Origin Agritech's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Origin Agritech's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Origin Agritech and how it compares across the competition.

About Origin Agritech Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Origin Agritech on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Agritech. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Origin Agritech based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Origin Agritech's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Origin Agritech's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Origin Agritech. We calculate exposure to Origin Agritech's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Origin Agritech's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit15.5 M14.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.31  0.33 
Operating Profit Margin 0.32  0.33 
Net Profit Margin 0.27  0.28 
Gross Profit Margin 0.53  0.30 

8 Steps to conduct Origin Agritech's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Origin Agritech's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Origin Agritech's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Origin Agritech's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Origin Agritech's revenue streams: Identify Origin Agritech's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Origin Agritech's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Origin Agritech's growth potential: Evaluate Origin Agritech's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Origin Agritech's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Origin Agritech's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Origin Agritech Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Origin Agritech does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.5 M

Origin Agritech Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Origin Agritech and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Origin we look at many different elements of the entity such as Origin's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Origin Agritech's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Origin Agritech's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Origin Agritech, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Origin Agritech's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Origin Agritech's worth.
When determining whether Origin Agritech is a strong investment it is important to analyze Origin Agritech's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Origin Agritech's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Origin Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Agritech. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
For information on how to trade Origin Stock refer to our How to Trade Origin Stock guide.
Note that the Origin Agritech information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Origin Agritech's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Complementary Tools for Origin Stock analysis

When running Origin Agritech's price analysis, check to measure Origin Agritech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Origin Agritech is operating at the current time. Most of Origin Agritech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Origin Agritech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Origin Agritech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Origin Agritech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
USA ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Is Origin Agritech's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Agritech. If investors know Origin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Origin Agritech listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
1.16
Revenue Per Share
14.254
Quarterly Revenue Growth
3.38
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(3.72)
The market value of Origin Agritech is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Origin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Origin Agritech's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Origin Agritech's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Origin Agritech's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Origin Agritech's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Origin Agritech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Origin Agritech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Origin Agritech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.