Sound Financial Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

SFBC Stock  USD 39.60  0.64  1.59%   
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Sound Financial's share price is at 55. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sound Financial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Sound Financial Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Sound Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Sound Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sound Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sound Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sound Financial Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sound Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.58)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Sound Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Sound stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sound Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Sound Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sound Financial Bancorp from the perspective of Sound Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Sound Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sound Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sound because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sound Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sound Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sound Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.4040.1840.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sound Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sound Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sound Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sound Financial Bancorp.

Sound Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sound Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sound Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sound Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sound Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sound Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sound Financial's historical news coverage. Sound Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.46 and 41.02, respectively. We have considered Sound Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.60
40.24
After-hype Price
41.02
Upside
Sound Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sound Financial Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sound Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sound Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sound Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sound Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.81
 0.00  
 0.00  
6 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.60
40.24
0.00 
4,050  
Notes

Sound Financial Hype Timeline

Sound Financial Bancorp is at this time traded for 39.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Sound is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sound Financial is about 558.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.60. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.03. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sound Financial Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2024. The entity had 709:811 split on the 23rd of August 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Sound Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sound Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sound Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sound Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Sound Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sound Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Sound Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sound price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sound using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sound charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sound Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sound Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sound Financial Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sound Financial based on analysis of Sound Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sound Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sound Financial's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02010.01910.0117
Price To Sales Ratio2.541.81.73

Story Coverage note for Sound Financial

The number of cover stories for Sound Financial depends on current market conditions and Sound Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sound Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sound Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sound Financial Short Properties

Sound Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sound Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sound Financial Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sound Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sound Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-49.7 M
When determining whether Sound Financial Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Sound Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Sound Financial Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Sound Financial Bancorp Stock:
Check out Sound Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Sound Financial Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sound Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Sound Stock analysis

When running Sound Financial's price analysis, check to measure Sound Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sound Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Sound Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sound Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sound Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sound Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Sound Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sound Financial. If investors know Sound will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sound Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.58)
Dividend Share
0.74
Earnings Share
2.86
Revenue Per Share
15.272
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.18)
The market value of Sound Financial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sound that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sound Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sound Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sound Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sound Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sound Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sound Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sound Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.